IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transa/v176y2023ics0965856423002033.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating city-wide hourly bicycle flow using a hybrid LSTM MDN

Author

Listed:
  • Myhrmann, Marcus Skyum
  • Mabit, Stefan Eriksen

Abstract

Cycling can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution and increase public health. Hence, policymakers in cities worldwide seek to improve bicycle mode shares. Efforts to increase the bicycle’s mode share involve many measures, one of them being the improvement of cycling safety often requiring an analysis of the factors surrounding accidents. However, meaningful analysis of cycling safety requires accurate bicycle flow data that are generally sparse or only available at the aggregate level. Therefore, safety engineers often rely on aggregated variables or calibration factors that fail to account for variations in the cycling traffic relevant to policymaking.

Suggested Citation

  • Myhrmann, Marcus Skyum & Mabit, Stefan Eriksen, 2023. "Estimating city-wide hourly bicycle flow using a hybrid LSTM MDN," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:176:y:2023:i:c:s0965856423002033
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2023.103783
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856423002033
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tra.2023.103783?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rachel Aldred & Bridget Elliott & James Woodcock & Anna Goodman, 2017. "Cycling provision separated from motor traffic: a systematic review exploring whether stated preferences vary by gender and age," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 29-55, January.
    2. Broach, Joseph & Dill, Jennifer & Gliebe, John, 2012. "Where do cyclists ride? A route choice model developed with revealed preference GPS data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1730-1740.
    3. VANDENBULCKE, Grégory & THOMAS, Isabelle & INT PANIS, Luc, 2014. "Predicting cycling accident risk in Brussels: a spatial case-control approach," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2535, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    4. Lars Böcker & Martin Dijst & Jan Prillwitz, 2013. "Impact of Everyday Weather on Individual Daily Travel Behaviours in Perspective: A Literature Review," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 71-91, January.
    5. Lord, Dominique & Mannering, Fred, 2010. "The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: A review and assessment of methodological alternatives," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 291-305, June.
    6. Nankervis, Max, 1999. "The effect of weather and climate on bicycle commuting," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 417-431, August.
    7. Rossetti, Tomás & Guevara, C. Angelo & Galilea, Patricia & Hurtubia, Ricardo, 2018. "Modeling safety as a perceptual latent variable to assess cycling infrastructure," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 252-265.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rupi, Federico & Freo, Marzia & Poliziani, Cristian & Postorino, Maria Nadia & Schweizer, Joerg, 2023. "Analysis of gender-specific bicycle route choices using revealed preference surveys based on GPS traces," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 1-14.
    2. Hong, Jinhyun & Philip McArthur, David & Stewart, Joanna L., 2020. "Can providing safe cycling infrastructure encourage people to cycle more when it rains? The use of crowdsourced cycling data (Strava)," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 109-121.
    3. Kashfi, Syeed Anta & Bunker, Jonathan M. & Yigitcanlar, Tan, 2015. "Understanding the effects of complex seasonality on suburban daily transit ridership," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 67-80.
    4. Hwachyi Wang & S. K. Jason Chang & Hans De Backer & Dirk Lauwers & Philippe De Maeyer, 2019. "Integrating Spatial and Temporal Approaches for Explaining Bicycle Crashes in High-Risk Areas in Antwerp (Belgium)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-28, July.
    5. Lanzendorf, Martin & Busch-Geertsema, Annika, 2014. "The cycling boom in large German cities—Empirical evidence for successful cycling campaigns," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 26-33.
    6. Nematchoua, ModesteKameni & Deuse, Caroline & Cools, Mario & Reiter, Sigrid, 2020. "Evaluation of the potential of classic and electric bicycle commuting as an impetus for the transition towards environmentally sustainable cities: A case study of the university campuses in Liege, Bel," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    7. Hyungkyoo Kim & Elizabeth Macdonald, 2016. "Does Wind Discourage Sustainable Transportation Mode Choice? Findings from San Francisco, California, USA," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, March.
    8. Darja Šemrov & Robert Rijavec & Peter Lipar, 2022. "Dimensioning of Cycle Lanes Based on the Assessment of Comfort for Cyclists," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-12, August.
    9. Lars Böcker & Patrick Amen & Marco Helbich, 2017. "Elderly travel frequencies and transport mode choices in Greater Rotterdam, the Netherlands," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 831-852, July.
    10. Cervero, Robert & Denman, Steve & Jin, Ying, 2019. "Network design, built and natural environments, and bicycle commuting: Evidence from British cities and towns," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 153-164.
    11. Huang‐Ting Yan & Yu‐Chin Hsu & Yu‐Hung Chang, 2022. "A multilevel analysis of the determinants of the attitude toward separate cycle paths in Taiwan," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 103(7), pages 1732-1749, December.
    12. Wessel, Jan, 2020. "Using weather forecasts to forecast whether bikes are used," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 537-559.
    13. An, Ran & Zahnow, Renee & Pojani, Dorina & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2019. "Weather and cycling in New York: The case of Citibike," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 97-112.
    14. Elise Desjardins & Christopher D. Higgins & Darren M. Scott & Emma Apatu & Antonio Páez, 2022. "Correlates of bicycling trip flows in Hamilton, Ontario: fastest, quietest, or balanced routes?," Transportation, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 867-895, June.
    15. Wadud, Zia, 2014. "Cycling in a changed climate," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 12-20.
    16. Umer Mansoor & Mohammad Tamim Kashifi & Fazal Rehman Safi & Syed Masiur Rahman, 2022. "A review of factors and benefits of non-motorized transport: a way forward for developing countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 1560-1582, February.
    17. Houde, Maxime & Apparicio, Philippe & Séguin, Anne-Marie, 2018. "A ride for whom: Has cycling network expansion reduced inequities in accessibility in Montreal, Canada?," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 9-21.
    18. Helbich, Marco & Böcker, Lars & Dijst, Martin, 2014. "Geographic heterogeneity in cycling under various weather conditions: evidence from Greater Rotterdam," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 38-47.
    19. Damant-Sirois, Gabriel & El-Geneidy, Ahmed M., 2015. "Who cycles more? Determining cycling frequency through a segmentation approach in Montreal, Canada," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 113-125.
    20. Efthimios Bakogiannis & Thanos Vlastos & Konstantinos Athanasopoulos & Avgi Vassi & Georgia Christodoulopoulou & Christos Karolemeas & Stefanos Tsigdinos & Charalampos Kyriakidis & Maria-Stella Noutso, 2020. "Exploring Motivators and Deterrents of Cycling Tourism Using Qualitative Social Research Methods and Participative Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-15, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:176:y:2023:i:c:s0965856423002033. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/547/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.