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Dependence patterns among Asian banking sector stocks: A copula approach

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  • Mensah, Jones Odei
  • Premaratne, Gamini

Abstract

Asian banks have recorded 22 banking crisis between 1945 and 2008 and its total share of years in a banking crisis since 1945 is 12.4%, the highest compared to all regions. Interestingly, most of the financial institutions in the region remained largely unscathed during the recent global financial crisis, mainly due to their strong liquidity and capital buffers. Yet, given the episodes of past crisis, the rapid increase in regional corporations and cross-border flows in the region, as well as the paramount importance of the banking sector in the Asian region, it is interesting to study how the banking sectors in the various economies co-move with each other. Against this backdrop, we examine the dependence structure between banking sectors in the region using copula functions. Several findings are documented. First, average dependence generally remain at moderate levels, though dependence between the banking sectors of the developed Asian markets are relatively higher than the emerging markets. Second, we find evidence of asymmetric dependence, suggesting that banking sector returns co-movement varies in bearish and bullish markets. Third, our results show a mild increase in the bivariate dynamic correlations during crisis periods, indicating very limited risk of contagion. Our results provide significant implications for portfolio managers and policymakers.

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  • Mensah, Jones Odei & Premaratne, Gamini, 2017. "Dependence patterns among Asian banking sector stocks: A copula approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 516-546.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:41:y:2017:i:c:p:516-546
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.05.001
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    Cited by:

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    3. Yusheng Kong & Peter Yao Lartey & Fatoumata Binta Maci Bah & Nirmalya B. Biswas, 2018. "The Value of Public Sector Risk Management: An Empirical Assessment of Ghana," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-18, July.
    4. Nathan Lael Joseph & Thi Thuy Anh Vo & Asma Mobarek & Sabur Mollah, 2020. "Volatility and asymmetric dependence in Central and East European stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1241-1303, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asia banking sector; International correlation; Dependence; Copula model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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