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Bond market evidence of time variation in exposures to global risk factors and the role of US monetary policy

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  • Nitschka, Thomas

Abstract

This paper empirically shows that US monetary policy influences present and future exposures of developed markets’ government bond returns to measures of global, systematic risk and thus affects the time variation of these returns. This finding highlights spillovers from US monetary policy to US dollar denominated foreign assets and to foreign assets denominated in other currencies than the US dollar. From an asset pricing perspective, the evidence reveals that exchange rate risk and time variation in sensitivities to global bond market and exchange rate risk are important to describe time variation in developed markets’ government bond returns.

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  • Nitschka, Thomas, 2018. "Bond market evidence of time variation in exposures to global risk factors and the role of US monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 44-54.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:83:y:2018:i:c:p:44-54
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2018.02.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Zaremba & George Kambouris, 2019. "The sources of momentum in international government bond returns," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(8), pages 848-857, February.
    2. Shaozhen Chen & Bangqian Zhang & Jinjin Deng, 2018. "Research on Risk Measurement in Financial Market Based on GARCH-VaR and FHS¡ª¡ªAn Example of Chinese Bond Market," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(4), pages 102-116, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bond return; Global CAPM; Monetary policy; Risk factors; Spillover;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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