IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v111y2023icp173-192.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymptotic properties of generalized shortfall risk measures for heavy-tailed risks

Author

Listed:
  • Mao, Tiantian
  • Stupfler, Gilles
  • Yang, Fan

Abstract

We study a general risk measure called the generalized shortfall risk measure, which was first introduced in Mao and Cai (2018). It is proposed under the rank-dependent expected utility framework, or equivalently induced from the cumulative prospect theory. This risk measure can be flexibly designed to capture the decision maker's behavior toward risks and wealth when measuring risk. In this paper, we derive the first- and second-order asymptotic expansions for the generalized shortfall risk measure. Our asymptotic results can be viewed as unifying theory for, among others, distortion risk measures and utility-based shortfall risk measures. They also provide a blueprint for the estimation of these measures at extreme levels, and we illustrate this principle by constructing and studying a quantile-based estimator in a special case. The accuracy of the asymptotic expansions and of the estimator is assessed on several numerical examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Mao, Tiantian & Stupfler, Gilles & Yang, Fan, 2023. "Asymptotic properties of generalized shortfall risk measures for heavy-tailed risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 173-192.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:111:y:2023:i:c:p:173-192
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2023.05.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668723000392
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2023.05.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ulrich Schmidt & Horst Zank, 2007. "Linear cumulative prospect theory with applications to portfolio selection and insurance demand," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 30(1), pages 1-18, May.
    2. Hua, Lei & Joe, Harry, 2011. "Second order regular variation and conditional tail expectation of multiple risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 537-546.
    3. Juan-Juan Cai & John H. J. Einmahl & Laurens Haan & Chen Zhou, 2015. "Estimation of the marginal expected shortfall: the mean when a related variable is extreme," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 77(2), pages 417-442, March.
    4. Loretan, Mico & Phillips, Peter C. B., 1994. "Testing the covariance stationarity of heavy-tailed time series: An overview of the theory with applications to several financial datasets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 211-248, January.
    5. Tiantian Mao & Jun Cai, 2018. "Risk measures based on behavioural economics theory," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 367-393, April.
    6. Tversky, Amos & Kahneman, Daniel, 1992. "Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 297-323, October.
    7. Cai, Jun & Mao, Tiantian, 2020. "Risk Measures Derived From A Regulator’S Perspective On The Regulatory Capital Requirements For Insurers," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(3), pages 1065-1092, September.
    8. Xavier Gabaix, 2009. "Power Laws in Economics and Finance," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 255-294, May.
    9. Abdelaati Daouia & Stéphane Girard & Gilles Stupfler, 2018. "Estimation of tail risk based on extreme expectiles," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 80(2), pages 263-292, March.
    10. Tang, Qihe & Yang, Fan, 2012. "On the Haezendonck–Goovaerts risk measure for extreme risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 217-227.
    11. Bellini, Fabio & Klar, Bernhard & Müller, Alfred & Rosazza Gianin, Emanuela, 2014. "Generalized quantiles as risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 41-48.
    12. Hua, Lei & Joe, Harry, 2014. "Strength of tail dependence based on conditional tail expectation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 143-159.
    13. Kaluszka, Marek & Krzeszowiec, Michał, 2012. "Mean-Value Principle under Cumulative Prospect Theory," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(1), pages 103-122, May.
    14. Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2003. "A theory of power-law distributions in financial market fluctuations," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6937), pages 267-270, May.
    15. Mao, Tiantian & Yang, Fan, 2015. "Risk concentration based on Expectiles for extreme risks under FGM copula," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 429-439.
    16. Kaluszka, Marek & Krzeszowiec, Michał, 2012. "Pricing insurance contracts under Cumulative Prospect Theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 159-166.
    17. Newey, Whitney K & Powell, James L, 1987. "Asymmetric Least Squares Estimation and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(4), pages 819-847, July.
    18. Yanchun Zhao & Tiantian Mao & Fan Yang, 2021. "Estimation of the Haezendonck-Goovaerts risk measure for extreme risks," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2021(7), pages 599-622, August.
    19. Mao, Tiantian & Hu, Taizhong, 2012. "Second-order properties of the Haezendonck–Goovaerts risk measure for extreme risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 333-343.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tadese, Mekonnen & Drapeau, Samuel, 2020. "Relative bound and asymptotic comparison of expectile with respect to expected shortfall," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 387-399.
    2. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2017. "Extreme M-quantiles as risk measures: From L1 to Lp optimization," TSE Working Papers 17-841, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    3. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2021. "ExpectHill estimation, extreme risk and heavy tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 97-117.
    4. Samuel Drapeau & Mekonnen Tadese, 2019. "Relative Bound and Asymptotic Comparison of Expectile with Respect to Expected Shortfall," Papers 1906.09729, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    5. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2018. "Tail expectile process and risk assessment," TSE Working Papers 18-944, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    6. Samuel Drapeau & Mekonnen Tadese, 2019. "Dual Representation of Expectile based Expected Shortfall and Its Properties," Papers 1911.03245, arXiv.org.
    7. Tiantian Mao & Jun Cai, 2018. "Risk measures based on behavioural economics theory," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 367-393, April.
    8. Di Bernardino, Elena & Laloë, Thomas & Pakzad, Cambyse, 2024. "Estimation of extreme multivariate expectiles with functional covariates," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    9. Chen, Yu & Ma, Mengyuan & Sun, Hongfang, 2023. "Statistical inference for extreme extremile in heavy-tailed heteroscedastic regression model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 142-162.
    10. Véronique Maume-Deschamps & Didier Rullière & Khalil Said, 2017. "Multivariate Extensions Of Expectiles Risk Measures," Working Papers hal-01367277, HAL.
    11. Weiwei Li & Dejian Tian, 2023. "Robust optimized certainty equivalents and quantiles for loss positions with distribution uncertainty," Papers 2304.04396, arXiv.org.
    12. Maume-Deschamps Véronique & Rullière Didier & Said Khalil, 2017. "Multivariate extensions of expectiles risk measures," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 20-44, January.
    13. Bingzhen Geng & Yang Liu & Yimiao Zhao, 2024. "Value-at-Risk- and Expectile-based Systemic Risk Measures and Second-order Asymptotics: With Applications to Diversification," Papers 2404.18029, arXiv.org.
    14. Laurent Gardes & Stéphane Girard & Gilles Stupfler, 2020. "Beyond tail median and conditional tail expectation: Extreme risk estimation using tail Lp‐optimization," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(3), pages 922-949, September.
    15. Stéphane Girard & Gilles Stupfler & Antoine Usseglio‐Carleve, 2022. "Nonparametric extreme conditional expectile estimation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(1), pages 78-115, March.
    16. Beck, Nicholas & Di Bernardino, Elena & Mailhot, Mélina, 2021. "Semi-parametric estimation of multivariate extreme expectiles," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    17. Taoufik Bouezmarni & Mohamed Doukali & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2024. "Testing Granger non-causality in expectiles," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(1), pages 30-51, January.
    18. Said Khalil, 2022. "Expectile-based capital allocation," Working Papers hal-03816525, HAL.
    19. Qinyu Wu & Fan Yang & Ping Zhang, 2023. "Conditional generalized quantiles based on expected utility model and equivalent characterization of properties," Papers 2301.12420, arXiv.org.
    20. Maziar Sahamkhadam, 2021. "Dynamic copula-based expectile portfolios," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 209-223, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Generalized shortfall risk measure; Asymptotic expansions; Heavy tails; Estimation; Extreme value statistics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:111:y:2023:i:c:p:173-192. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505554 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.