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COVID19: A blessing in disguise for European stock markets?

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  • Su, Chi-Wei
  • Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas
  • Naqvi, Bushra
  • Mirza, Nawazish
  • Umar, Muhammad

Abstract

This study aims to bridge the gap that has remained unfilled after the initial scrutiny and reporting of the damaging effects of Covid-19 on financial markets. The study analyzes 10 European stock markets and compares their pre and post covid return dynamics. Our findings are surprisingly pleasant, albeit counterintuitive to some. We observe a quick and unprecedented recovery in the European stock market, yielding significantly higher returns post covid, given a reasonably large holding period. We also observe an alteration and change in the status quo of countries while transmitting or receiving cross-market spillovers.

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  • Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "COVID19: A blessing in disguise for European stock markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:49:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322003580
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103135
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi & Nawazish Mirza & Bushra Naqvi & Birjees Rahat, 2020. "Covid-19 and asset management in EU: a preliminary assessment of performance and investment styles," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 281-291, July.
    2. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    3. Mirza, Nawazish & Naqvi, Bushra & Rahat, Birjees & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas, 2020. "Price reaction, volatility timing and funds’ performance during Covid-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    4. Warwick McKibbin & David Vines, 2020. "Global macroeconomic cooperation in response to the COVID-19 pandemic: a roadmap for the G20 and the IMF," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 297-337.
    5. Diebold, Francis X. & Yılmaz, Kamil, 2014. "On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 119-134.
    6. Nawazish Mirza & Jamila Abaidi Hasnaoui & Bushra Naqvi & Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi, 2020. "The impact of human capital efficiency on Latin American mutual funds during Covid-19 outbreak," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-7, December.
    7. Aslam, Faheem & Aziz, Saqib & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Mughal, Khurrum S. & Khan, Maaz, 2020. "On the efficiency of foreign exchange markets in times of the COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    8. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Volatility connectedness of major cryptocurrencies: The role of investor happiness," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    9. Rubbaniy, Ghulame & Polyzos, Stathis & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Tessema, Abiot, 2021. "COVID-19, Lockdowns and herding towards a cryptocurrency market-specific implied volatility index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    10. Faheem Aslam & Wahbeeah Mohti & Paulo Ferreira, 2020. "Evidence of Intraday Multifractality in European Stock Markets during the Recent Coronavirus (COVID-19) Outbreak," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-13, May.
    11. Zhang, Dayong & Hu, Min & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    12. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Financial market connectedness: The role of investors’ happiness," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    13. Faheem Aslam & Tahir Mumtaz Awan & Jabir Hussain Syed & Aisha Kashif & Mahwish Parveen, 2020. "Sentiments and emotions evoked by news headlines of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(1), pages 1-9, December.
    14. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Khurrum Shahzad Mughal & Beenish Bashir, 2021. "Intraday Volatility Spillovers among European Financial Markets during COVID-19," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, January.
    15. Sophia Chen & Ms. Deniz O Igan & Mr. Nicola Pierri & Mr. Andrea F Presbitero, 2020. "Tracking the Economic Impact of COVID-19 and Mitigation Policies in Europe and the United States," IMF Working Papers 2020/125, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Mirza, Nawazish & Abbas Rizvi, Syed Kumail & Saba, Irum & Naqvi, Bushra & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "The resilience of Islamic equity funds during COVID-19: Evidence from risk adjusted performance, investment styles and volatility timing," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 276-295.
    17. Jamila Abaidi Hasnaoui & Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi & Krishna Reddy & Nawazish Mirza & Bushra Naqvi, 2021. "Human capital efficiency, performance, market, and volatility timing of asian equity funds during COVID-19 outbreak," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(5), pages 360-375, September.
    18. Naqvi, Bushra & Rizvi, S.K.A. & Mirza, Nawazish & Reddy, Krishna, 2018. "Religion based investing and illusion of Islamic Alpha and Beta," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 82-106.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chengyonghui, Duan & Ni, Soh Wei & San, Ong Tze & Rahim, Norhuda BT Abdul, 2023. "What role public debt plays to moderate the influence of natural resources on financial development? Appraising Resource-Curse Hypothesis in MENA Region," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    2. Naqvi, Bushra & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas, 2023. "Shanghai crude oil futures: Returns Independence, volatility asymmetry, and hedging potential," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    3. Li, Shi & Li, Meng & Fu, Rongsha, 2024. "A sustainable pandemic response: The impact of COVID-19 vaccination coverage on economic policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 316-332.
    4. Zhang, Bo & Zhao, Meiyu & Tu, Yongqian, 2023. "Sustainable development and resources extraction: A novel perspective for resources rich economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    5. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Husain, Afzol & Bossman, Ahmed & Karim, Sitara, 2024. "Assessing the linkage of energy cryptocurrency with clean and dirty energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    6. Sattar Khan & Yasir Kamal & Muhammad Abbas & Shahid Hussain, 2022. "Board of directors and earnings manipulation: evidence from regulatory change," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-22, December.
    7. Su, Chi-Wei & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Chang, Tsangyao & Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2022. "Resource extraction, greenhouse emissions, and banking performance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Yuan, Xi & Qin, Meng & Zhong, Yifan & Nicoleta-Claudia, Moldovan, 2023. "Financial roles in green investment based on the quantile connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    9. Ding, Yuanyi, 2023. "Does natural resources cause sustainable financial development or resources curse? Evidence from group of seven economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    10. Xie, Xin & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Ji, Xiaoman, 2024. "Covid-19 and market discipline: Evidence from the banking sector in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 612-621.
    11. Su, Chi Wei & Liu, Fangying & Stefea, Petru & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Does technology innovation help to achieve carbon neutrality?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-14.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid19; Europe; Eastern Europe; Stock markets; Connectedness; Spillovers;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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