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The limits in the adoption of batteries

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  • Moita, Rodrigo
  • Monte, Daniel

Abstract

We develop a model of electricity markets with intermittent renewable generators, thermal plants and battery owners. Our model incorporates the case of distributed generation, or prosumers, which are agents that both consume and produce power with photovoltaic systems (PV), which have low marginal cost, but rely on stochastic and non-marketable inputs. Batteries have an important role in this world, since they increase the supply reliability of a system with a large share of intermittent generators. Batteries smooth prices across periods, but have decreasing marginal benefit due to this effect on prices. Consequently, the predicted adoption rate of batteries is limited, even as battery prices decrease. We then calibrate our model with data from Uruguay, and show that the marginal profits from batteries go to zero after battery capacity crosses a threshold, and its adoption rate never reaches 100% of the renewables’ capacity.

Suggested Citation

  • Moita, Rodrigo & Monte, Daniel, 2022. "The limits in the adoption of batteries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:107:y:2022:i:c:s0140988321006174
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105776
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Batteries; Distributed generation; Renewable energy; Adoption rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C7 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory
    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D47 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Market Design
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q55 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Technological Innovation
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects

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