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Liquidity risk in FinTech lending: Early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the P2P lending market

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  • Nigmonov, Asror
  • Shams, Syed
  • Alam, Khorshed

Abstract

This study empirically investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the liquidity risk incurred by the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. As the pandemic adversely affects financial markets globally, a better understanding of the dynamics of successful P2P lending is necessary under the conditions of financial distress. By using the cross-country database of secondary market listing outcomes at Bondora (Estonia) and employing probit, ordered probit and tobit regression methods, we provide evidence of the pandemic-induced exposure to liquidity risk in the P2P lending market. Despite increased volatility in the financial markets, results show that COVID-19 risk increases the probability of successful listing during the pandemic. However, this outcome comes at significant liquidation costs for investors in the form of higher premiums. Further analysis based on listing outcomes and loan characteristics shows a negative association between COVID-19 risk and share of overdue loans and average overdue days in secondary market listings. Simultaneously, more experienced investors dominate the market as COVID-19 risk increases, a trend that is reflected in shorter listing times. The findings of this study imply certain early tendencies in financial markets during pandemic-induced turmoil and open new avenues for further research.

Suggested Citation

  • Nigmonov, Asror & Shams, Syed & Alam, Khorshed, 2024. "Liquidity risk in FinTech lending: Early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the P2P lending market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:58:y:2024:i:c:s1566014123000894
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2023.101084
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Coronavirus; COVID-19; Digital finance; FinTech; Liquidity risk; Marketplace lending; Pandemic; Peer-to-peer lending;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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