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Inflation targeting on output growth: A pulse dummy analysis of dynamic macroeconomic panel data

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  • de Guimarães e Souza, Gustavo José
  • de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira
  • de Andrade, Joaquim Pinto

Abstract

This study contributes to the empirical literature on inflation targeting (IT) and output growth through a combination of econometric models seeking the flexibility to capture the collateral effects of IT on economic growth and acknowledging the relationships among the countries in the models with macro panel data analysis. To this end, three samples are used: advanced countries, developing countries and all countries. An important result of the many estimations in this study is that there is a positive constant effect on output after the adoption of IT, especially for developing countries. Therefore, the findings denote that the adoption of IT implies gains in economic growth or at least non-sluggish economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • de Guimarães e Souza, Gustavo José & de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & de Andrade, Joaquim Pinto, 2016. "Inflation targeting on output growth: A pulse dummy analysis of dynamic macroeconomic panel data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 145-169.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:40:y:2016:i:1:p:145-169
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2015.06.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bun, Maurice J.G. & Carree, Martin A., 2005. "Bias-Corrected Estimation in Dynamic Panel Data Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 200-210, April.
    2. de Carvalho Filho Irineu E, 2011. "28 Months Later: How Inflation Targeters Outperformed Their Peers in the Great Recession," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-46, July.
    3. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 13-50, January.
    4. Robert J. Barro, 1991. "Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(2), pages 407-443.
    5. David F. Hendry & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2004. "We Ran One Regression," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 799-810, December.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. José Laurindo de Almeida & Helder Ferreira de Mendonça, 2019. "The effect of infrastructure and taxation on economic growth: new empirical assessment," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(5), pages 1065-1082, August.
    2. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & Nascimento, Natalia Cunha, 2020. "Monetary policy efficiency and macroeconomic stability: Do financial openness and economic globalization matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. F. Kartaev S. & Ф. Картаев С., 2018. "Оценка Влияния Монетарной Политики На Экономический Рост Для Различных Групп Стран // The Assessment Of The Impact Of Monetary Policy On Economic Growth In Different Groups Of Countries," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 22(1), pages 50-63.
    4. A. Frenkel A. & B. Tikhomirov I. & N. Volkova N. & A. Surkov A. & А. Френкель А. & Б. Тихомиров И. & Н. Волкова Н. & А. Сурков А., 2019. "Оценка влияния реального сектора и непроизводственных сфер на динамику индекса деловой активности // Impact Assessment of the Real Sector and Non-Productive Spheres on the Dynamics of the Business Act," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 23(2), pages 117-133.
    5. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Iven Silva Valpassos, 2022. "Combination of economic policies: how the perfect storm wrecked the Brazilian economic growth," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1135-1157, September.
    6. Amaia Altuzarra & Ricardo Bustillo & Carlos Rodríguez, 2022. "Does the monetary policy regime matter in the effect of credit on growth?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 341-374, December.
    7. Victoria P. Litvinets, 2023. "Inflation Targeting and Economic Growth in Developed and Developing Countries: Evaluation of the Policy Effectiveness Using CS-ARDL Approach," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 22(4), pages 814-833.
    8. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Vítor Ribeiro Laufer Calafate, 2021. "Lack of fiscal transparency and economic growth expectations: an empirical assessment from a large emerging economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2985-3027, December.
    9. Salma Louati & Younes Boujelbene, 2020. "Inflation targeting and bank risk: The interacting effect of institutional quality," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1847889-184, January.
    10. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2019. "Macroeconomic Institutions: Lessons from World Experience for MENA Countries," Working Papers 1311, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
    11. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Igor da Silva Veiga, 2017. "The open economy trilemma in Latin America: A three-decade analysis," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 135-154, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation targeting; Output growth; Cross-dependence; Developing and advanced countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • O42 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Monetary Growth Models

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