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Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility

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  • Baldovin, Fulvio
  • Caporin, Massimiliano
  • Caraglio, Michele
  • Stella, Attilio L.
  • Zamparo, Marco

Abstract

Volatility clustering, long-range dependence, and non-Gaussian scaling are stylized facts of financial assets dynamics. They are ignored in the Black & Scholes framework, but have a relevant impact on the pricing of options written on financial assets. Using a recent model for market dynamics which adequately captures the above stylized facts, we derive closed form equations for option pricing, obtaining the Black & Scholes as a special case. By applying our pricing equations to a major equity index option dataset, we show that inclusion of stylized features in financial modelling moves derivative prices about 30% closer to the market values without the need of calibrating models parameters on available derivative prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Baldovin, Fulvio & Caporin, Massimiliano & Caraglio, Michele & Stella, Attilio L. & Zamparo, Marco, 2015. "Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 486-497.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:187:y:2015:i:2:p:486-497
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.033
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Xiao-Tian & Li, Zhe & Zhuang, Le, 2017. "Risk preference, option pricing and portfolio hedging with proportional transaction costs," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 111-130.
    2. Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2015. "Econometric analysis of financial derivatives: An overview," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 403-407.
    3. Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2014. "Econometric Analysis of Financial Derivatives," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2015-02, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Option pricing; Anomalous scaling; Markov switching; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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