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The international credit channel of U.S. monetary policy transmission to developing countries: Evidence from trade data

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  • Lin, Shu
  • Ye, Haichun

Abstract

In a large sector-level bilateral trade dataset, we find robust evidence supporting a broad international credit channel of U.S. monetary policy transmission to developing countries. We show that U.S. monetary policy has a significant effect on the sectoral composition of developing countries' exports. Financially more vulnerable sectors have a significantly more negative exposure of their trade to a tight U.S. monetary policy, especially in financially less developed exporting countries or during significant U.S. tightening periods. Moreover, we identify both a monetary policy dependence mechanism and a financial dollarization mechanism through which U.S. monetary policy can influence the sectoral composition of developing countries' exports.

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  • Lin, Shu & Ye, Haichun, 2018. "The international credit channel of U.S. monetary policy transmission to developing countries: Evidence from trade data," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 33-41.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:133:y:2018:i:c:p:33-41
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2018.01.007
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International transmission of U.S. monetary policy; International credit channel; Trade; Financial vulnerability; Developing countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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