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Why is there so much economic insecurity in Latin America?

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  • Rodrik, Dani

Abstract

The view that pervasive economic insecurity threatens political support for the ongoing market-oriented reforms has become one of the most common refrains in current discussions on Latin American affairs. Dealing with economic insecurity would thus appear to be a key part of the unfinished agenda of Latin America's reforms. The author argues that economic insecurity in Latin America is multifaceted and has many sources that feed on each other. Some of the insecurity arises from the decline in employment protection and increased volatility of household outcomes. Some of it is the result of erratic capital flows and the systemic instability generated by a divorce between the instruments of stabilization and the real economy. Finally, an important component is the weakness of the institutions of voice and representation. Programmes aimed at social protection per se can be of partial help only. They will have to be complemented by applying macroeconomic policies, especially with regard to capital flows and the exchange rate, that are more conducive to the stability of the real economy and by loosening the control of financial markets over the instruments of macroeconomic policy. They will also require access to representative institutions -trade unions, political parties, and legislatures- with greater responsiveness and legitimacy than those that exist at present. But perhaps what Latin America needs most is a vision of how social cohesion can be maintained in the face of large inequalities and volatile outcomes, both of which are being aggravated by the growing reliance on market forces. The region will have to develop a vision that finds a way to ease the tension between market forces and the yearning for economic security.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodrik, Dani, 2001. "Why is there so much economic insecurity in Latin America?," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col070:10786
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    1. Ferreira, Francisco H. G. & Paes de Barrios, Ricardo, 1999. "The slippery slope : explaining the increase in extreme poverty in urban Brazil, 1976-96," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2210, The World Bank.
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    4. Ferreira, Francisco H. G. & Barros, Ricardo Paes de, 1999. "The Slippery Slope: Explaining The Increase In Extreme Poverty In Urban Brazil, 1976-1996," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 19(2), November.
    5. Francisco de Hollanda Guimarães Ferreira & Ricardo Paes de Barros, 1999. "The slippery slope: explaining the increase in extreme poverty in urban Brazil, 1976-1996," Textos para discussão 404, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
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    1. Contreras, Dante & Ffrench-Davis, Ricardo, 2012. "Policy Regimes, Inequality, Poverty and Growth: The Chilean Experience, 1973-2010," WIDER Working Paper Series 004, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Jansen, Marion & Piermartini, Roberta & Lennon, Carolina, 2009. "Exposure to External Country Specific Shocks and Income Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 7123, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Ffrench-Davis, Ricardo, 2003. "Financial crisis and national policy issues: an overview," Copublicaciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1785.
    4. repec:unu:wpaper:wp2012-04 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Luz Adriana Flórez, 2014. "The Efficiency of the Informal Sector on the Search and Matching Framework," Borradores de Economia 832, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Ffrench-Davis, Ricardo & Larraín, Guillermo, 2003. "How optimal are the extremes?: Latin American exchange rate policies during the Asian crisis," Copublicaciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1797.
    7. Luz Adriana Florez, 2015. "The Search and Matching Equilibrium in an Economy with an Informal Sector: A Positive Analysis of Labour Market Policies," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, August.
    8. César Calderón & Norman V. Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2008. "Does Openness Imply Greater Vulnerability?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 485, Central Bank of Chile.
    9. Peter Montiel & Luis Servén, 2006. "Macroeconomic Stability in Developing Countries: How Much Is Enough?," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 21(2), pages 151-178.
    10. -, 2002. "Socio-demographic vulnerability: old and new risks for communities, households and individuals," Documentos de Proyectos 13054, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    11. Calderon, Cesar & Loayza, Norman & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 2005. "Does openness imply greater exposure ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3733, The World Bank.
    12. Marion Jansen & Carolina Lennon & Roberta Piermartini, 2016. "Income volatility: whom you trade with matters," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(1), pages 127-146, February.
    13. Derek Headey, 2007. "What Professor Rodrik Means by Policy Reform: Appraising a Post-Washington Paradigm," CEPA Working Papers Series WP052007, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    14. Sojo, Ana, 2003. "Social vulnerability, insurance and risk diversification in Latin America and the Caribbean," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    15. Javier Espinosa & Jorge Friedman & Carlos Yevenes, 2014. "Adverse Shocks and Economic Insecurity: Evidence from Chile and Mexico," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 60(S1), pages 141-158, May.
    16. Dante Contreras & Ricardo Ffrench-Davis, 2012. "Policy Regimes, Inequality, Poverty and Growth: The Chilean Experience, 1973-2010," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2012-004, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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