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Evaluation des Eurozone Economic Outlook

Author

Listed:
  • Korbinian Breitrainer
  • Atanas Hristov

Abstract

Das ifo Institut erstellt zusammen mit dem INSEE, Paris, und dem Istat, Rom vierteljährlich Prognosen für das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt, die Inflation, den Konsum, die Investitionen und die Industrieproduktion im Euroraum, den Eurozone Economic Outlook (EZEO). Der Beitrag bewertet die Qualität der Prognosen des EZEO für das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt und die Inflation. Prognosefehleranalysen zeigen, dass es keinen statistisch signifikanten Unterschied zwischen den Prognosen von EZEO und Consensus Economics gibt.

Suggested Citation

  • Korbinian Breitrainer & Atanas Hristov, 2015. "Evaluation des Eurozone Economic Outlook," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(24), pages 67-73, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:68:y:2015:i:24:p:67-73
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015. "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen – ein Vergleich mit den Prognosen von Consensus Economics," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(22), pages 26-28, November.
    2. Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2014. "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(17), pages 43-45, September.
    3. Jacob A. Mincer & Victor Zarnowitz, 1969. "The Evaluation of Economic Forecasts," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Forecasts and Expectations: Analysis of Forecasting Behavior and Performance, pages 3-46, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Berg Tim Oliver, 2017. "Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 1-29, April.
    5. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Prognose; Bewertung; Statistik;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

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