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Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Inflation Targeting on the Risk Premium

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Listed:
  • Borivoje D. Krušković

    (Faculty of Economics, University of Banja Luka)

  • Tina Maričić

Abstract

The basis for the conduct of monetary policy is monetary policy strategy. Monetary strategy is necessary for monetary policy makers to analyse all relevant information in order to undertake effective policy actions. Inflation targeting has enabled countries to achieve low inflation in the very short term. Due to this, the financial markets have adjusted their long-term inflation expectations and incorporated them into the interest rate. Risk premiums that compensate for the uncertainty of inflation have fallen. The aim of this paper is to examine how the adoption of inflation targeting affects the movement of the risk premium. The hypothesis we want to test is that the adoption of inflation targeting affects the reduction of the country risk premium by affecting the formation of a more stable macroeconomic environment through a more stable and predictable inflation rate in the medium and long term. The method used for evaluating the regression coefficients is the dynamic panel generalized method of moments (GMM). This method involves the use of conditional moments in endogenous and exogenous variables with a lag as instruments for the assessment of differential equations, while the difference lagged endogenous variables are used as instruments in the levels equation.

Suggested Citation

  • Borivoje D. Krušković & Tina Maričić, 2014. "Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Inflation Targeting on the Risk Premium," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 3(3), pages 87-99.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:3:y:2014:i:3:p:87-99
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mishkin, Frederic S. & Savastano, Miguel A., 2001. "Monetary policy strategies for Latin America," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 415-444, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation targeting; inflation risk premiums; asset prices; monetary strategy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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