IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bpj/strimo/v30y2013i3p221-235n3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Conditional L1 estimation for random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive processes

Author

Listed:
  • Chen Xi
  • Wang Lihong

    (Department of Mathematics, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P.R. China)

Abstract

In this paper we study the integer-valued autoregressive model, which belongs to the class of thinning models with count data.We mainly focus on the random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive (RCINAR) model and propose a conditional least absolute deviation (CL1) method to estimate the parameters of the model. The asymptotic distribution of the CL1 estimator is investigated. The finite sample performance of the proposed estimator is evaluated through simulation, and is compared with that of conditional least squares (CL2) estimation method. Simulation results show that the proposed method is effective and robust against outliers

Suggested Citation

  • Chen Xi & Wang Lihong, 2013. "Conditional L1 estimation for random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive processes," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 30(3), pages 221-235, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:strimo:v:30:y:2013:i:3:p:221-235:n:3
    DOI: 10.1524/strm.2013.1093
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1524/strm.2013.1093
    Download Restriction: For access to full text, subscription to the journal or payment for the individual article is required.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1524/strm.2013.1093?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jung, Robert C. & Kukuk, Martin & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2006. "Time series of count data: modeling, estimation and diagnostics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2350-2364, December.
    2. Fukasawa, T. & Basawa, I. V., 2002. "Estimation for a class of generalized state-space time series models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(4), pages 459-473, December.
    3. Wang, J. D., 1995. "Asymptotic Normality of L1-Estimators in Nonlinear Regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 227-238, August.
    4. Silva, Isabel & Silva, M. Eduarda, 2006. "Asymptotic distribution of the Yule-Walker estimator for INAR(p) processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(15), pages 1655-1663, September.
    5. Davis, Richard A. & Knight, Keith & Liu, Jian, 1992. "M-estimation for autoregressions with infinite variance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 145-180, February.
    6. Richard A. Davis, 2003. "Observation-driven models for Poisson counts," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 90(4), pages 777-790, December.
    7. Konstantinos Fokianos & Roland Fried, 2010. "Interventions in INGARCH processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 210-225, May.
    8. Jung, Robert C. & Tremayne, A.R., 2006. "Coherent forecasting in integer time series models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 223-238.
    9. Haitao Zheng & Ishwar V. Basawa & Somnath Datta, 2006. "Inference for pth‐order random coefficient integer‐valued autoregressive processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 411-440, May.
    10. Robert Jung & Gerd Ronning & A. Tremayne, 2005. "Estimation in conditional first order autoregression with discrete support," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 195-224, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christian Weiß, 2008. "Thinning operations for modeling time series of counts—a survey," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 92(3), pages 319-341, August.
    2. Dag Tjøstheim, 2012. "Some recent theory for autoregressive count time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(3), pages 413-438, September.
    3. Weiß, Christian H., 2010. "INARCH(1) processes: Higher-order moments and jumps," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(23-24), pages 1771-1780, December.
    4. Vasiliki Christou & Konstantinos Fokianos, 2014. "Quasi-Likelihood Inference For Negative Binomial Time Series Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1), pages 55-78, January.
    5. Fokianos, Konstantinos & Rahbek, Anders & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2009. "Poisson Autoregression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(488), pages 1430-1439.
    6. James W. Taylor, 2012. "Density Forecasting of Intraday Call Center Arrivals Using Models Based on Exponential Smoothing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(3), pages 534-549, March.
    7. Kheifets, Igor & Velasco, Carlos, 2017. "New goodness-of-fit diagnostics for conditional discrete response models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(1), pages 135-149.
    8. Fokianos, Konstantions & Fried, Roland, 2009. "Interventions in ingarch processes," Technical Reports 2009,11, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
    9. Xinyang Wang & Dehui Wang & Kai Yang, 2021. "Integer-valued time series model order shrinkage and selection via penalized quasi-likelihood approach," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 84(5), pages 713-750, July.
    10. Jung, Robert C. & Kukuk, Martin & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2006. "Time series of count data: modeling, estimation and diagnostics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2350-2364, December.
    11. Konstantinos Fokianos & Roland Fried, 2010. "Interventions in INGARCH processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 210-225, May.
    12. José M. R. Murteira & Mário A. G. Augusto, 2017. "Hurdle models of repayment behaviour in personal loan contracts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 641-667, September.
    13. Zheng, Tingguo & Xiao, Han & Chen, Rong, 2015. "Generalized ARMA models with martingale difference errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 492-506.
    14. Vladica S. Stojanović & Hassan S. Bakouch & Eugen Ljajko & Najla Qarmalah, 2023. "Zero-and-One Integer-Valued AR(1) Time Series with Power Series Innovations and Probability Generating Function Estimation Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-25, April.
    15. repec:tiu:tiutis:6b90fe6f-4de9-4192-9f4d-99ae9220af75 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Dungey Mardi & Martin Vance L. & Tang Chrismin & Tremayne Andrew, 2020. "A threshold mixed count time series model: estimation and application," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 1-18, April.
    17. Juan Dolado, 2012. "Comments on: Some recent theory for autoregressive count time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(3), pages 442-446, September.
    18. Konstantinos Fokianos & Dag Tjøstheim, 2012. "Nonlinear Poisson autoregression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 64(6), pages 1205-1225, December.
    19. Ralph D. Snyder & Adrian Beaumont, 2007. "A Comparison of Methods for Forecasting Demand for Slow Moving Car Parts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    20. Luisa Bisaglia & Margherita Gerolimetto, 2015. "Forecasting integer autoregressive processes of order 1: are simple AR competitive?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(3), pages 1652-1660.
    21. Paul Doukhan & Konstantinos Fokianos & Joseph Rynkiewicz, 2021. "Mixtures of Nonlinear Poisson Autoregressions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 107-135, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bpj:strimo:v:30:y:2013:i:3:p:221-235:n:3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.degruyter.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.