IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/rdevec/v26y2022i3p1600-1617.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Welfare impact of asymmetric price transmission on rice consumers in Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman
  • Valerien O. Pede
  • Jean Balié

Abstract

This study investigates asymmetric price transmission (APT) in the rice market in Bangladesh using monthly price series at farm, wholesale, and retail levels from October 2005 to June 2017 in a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model (NARDL). The results indicate a significant asymmetric relationship across price at retail, wholesale, and farm levels in the long and short term. While wholesalers/millers benefit from the imperfect price transmission at the expense of farmers, retailers gain over wholesalers/millers. We find that the consumer surplus decreases from a price rise at the wholesale or farm level, but consumers do not enjoy a proportional increase in their surplus from a price reduction. The study reveals that the consumer welfare loss due to APT along the rice value chain of Bangladesh is equivalent to US$89.05 million per month. This estimated aggregate welfare loss requires both the attention of decision‐makers and corrective actions.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman & Valerien O. Pede & Jean Balié, 2022. "Welfare impact of asymmetric price transmission on rice consumers in Bangladesh," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1600-1617, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:26:y:2022:i:3:p:1600-1617
    DOI: 10.1111/rode.12882
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12882
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/rode.12882?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Md Ziaur Rahman & Monalisa Sony & Md Shakhawat Hossen Rubel & Masudul Alam & Rokeya Akther Liza, 2020. "Steps toward Smooth Graduation of Bangladesh from Least Development Countries," Journal of Contemporary Research in Social Sciences, Michael Laurence, vol. 2(3), pages 57-67.
    2. Kuo-Wei CHOU & Po-Chun LIN, 2019. "Asymmetric Price Transmission and Consumer Costs in the Taiwanese Rice Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 67-86, December.
    3. Jean-Philippe Gervais, 2011. "Disentangling nonlinearities in the long- and short-run price relationships: an application to the US hog/pork supply chain," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(12), pages 1497-1510.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Alam, Mohammad Jahangir & Begum, Ismat Ara, 2012. "World and Bangladesh Rice Market Integration: An Application of Threshold Cointegration and Threshold Vector Error Correction Model (TVECM)," 86th Annual Conference, April 16-18, 2012, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 135119, Agricultural Economics Society.
    6. Iqbal, Md Zabid & Babcock, Bruce, 2016. "Transmission of Global Commodity Prices to Domestic Producer Prices: A Comprehensive Analysis," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236285, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-569 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Mohammad Jahangir Alam & Andrew M. McKenzie & Ismat Ara Begum & Jeroen Buysse & Eric J. Wailes & Guido Huylenbroeck, 2016. "Asymmetry Price Transmission in the Deregulated Rice Markets in Bangladesh: Asymmetric Error Correction Model," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 498-511, November.
    9. Frank Bunte & Jack Peerlings, 2003. "Asymmetric price transmission due to market power in the case of supply shocks," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 19-28.
    10. Pal, Debdatta & Mitra, Subrata K., 2016. "Asymmetric oil product pricing in India: Evidence from a multiple threshold nonlinear ARDL model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 314-328.
    11. Rahman, Mohammad Chhiddikur, 2018. "Welfare Impact of Asymmetric Price Transmission on Bangladesh Rice Consumers," EconStor Theses, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 251114, January.
    12. Md Ziaur Rahman & Monalisa Sony & Md Shakhawat Hossen Rubel & Masudul Alam & Rokeya Akther Liza, 2020. "Steps toward Smooth Graduation of Bangladesh from Least Development Countries," Journal of Contemporary Research in Social Sciences, Learning Gate, vol. 2(3), pages 57-67.
    13. Tracy Davids & Ferdi Meyer & Patrick Westhoff, 2017. "Impact of trade controls on price transmission between southern African maize markets," Agrekon, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(3), pages 223-232, July.
    14. Lacheheb, Miloud & Sirag, Abdalla, 2019. "Oil price and inflation in Algeria: A nonlinear ARDL approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 217-222.
    15. Md. Abu Bakr Siddique & Md. Abdus Salam & Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman, 2020. "Estimating the Demand Elasticity of Rice in Bangladesh: An Application of the AIDS Model," Asian Journal of Agriculture and rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 721-728, October.
    16. Faieza Chowdhury, 2020. "Work Integrated Learning at Tertiary Level to Enhance Graduate Employability in Bangladesh," International Journal of Higher Education, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(4), pages 1-61, August.
    17. Peter Romilly & Haiyan Song & Xiaming Liu, 2001. "Car ownership and use in Britain: a comparison of the empirical results of alternative cointegration estimation methods and forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(14), pages 1803-1818.
    18. Karantininis, Kostas & Katrakylidis, Kostas & Persson, Morten, 2011. "Price Transmission in the Swedish Pork Chain: Asymmetric non linear ARDL," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114772, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Fousekis, Panos & Katrakilidis, Constantinos & Trachanas, Emmanouil, 2016. "Vertical price transmission in the US beef sector: Evidence from the nonlinear ARDL model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 499-506.
    20. Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Shin, Yongcheol, 2013. "Taxation and the asymmetric adjustment of selected retail energy prices in the UK," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 411-416.
    21. Jesús Gonzalo & Jean‐Yves Pitarakis, 2006. "Threshold Effects in Cointegrating Relationships," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 813-833, December.
    22. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(17), pages 1979-1990.
    23. Minten, Bart & Murshid, K.A.S. & Reardon, Thomas, 2013. "Food Quality Changes and Implications: Evidence from the Rice Value Chain of Bangladesh," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 100-113.
    24. Verheyen, Florian, 2013. "Exchange rate nonlinearities in EMU exports to the US," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 66-76.
    25. Md Abu Bakr Siddique & Md Abdus Salam & Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman, 2020. "Estimating the Demand Elasticity of Rice in Bangladesh: An Application of the AIDS Model," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 721-728.
    26. Katrakilidis, Constantinos & Trachanas, Emmanouil, 2012. "What drives housing price dynamics in Greece: New evidence from asymmetric ARDL cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1064-1069.
    27. Emiliano Magrini & Jean Balié & Cristian Morales-Opazo, 2017. "Cereal price shocks and volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: what really matters for farmers’ welfare?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 48(6), pages 719-729, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Islam, Md Saiful & Rahman, Mohammad Chhiddikur & Haque, Md Enamul & Rahaman, Md Shajedur & Omar, Md Imran & Sarkar, Md A R & Islam, Mohammad A, 2023. "Cultivation of Local Rice Varieties in Bangladesh: Assessing the Farm Level Determinants," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 21(1), pages 46-56.
    2. Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman & Md Shajedur Rahaman & Jatish C. Biswas & Niaz Md. Farhat Rahman & Mohammad Ariful Islam & Md Abdur Rouf Sarkar & Md Saiful Islam & Md Maniruzzaman, 2023. "Climate change and risk scenario in Bangladesh," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 381-404, June.
    3. Md Shajedur Rahaman & Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman & Md Abdur Rouf Sarkar & Mohammad Ariful Islam, 2023. "Contribution of agriculture subsectors on economic growth in Bangladesh: An application of the ARDL method," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 245-264.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fousekis, Panos & Katrakilidis, Constantinos & Trachanas, Emmanouil, 2016. "Vertical price transmission in the US beef sector: Evidence from the nonlinear ARDL model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 499-506.
    2. Anthony N. Rezitis, 2019. "Investigating price transmission in the Finnish dairy sector: an asymmetric NARDL approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 861-900, September.
    3. Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of oil price changes on China’s exports: New evidence from a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Rahman, Mohammad Chhiddikur, 2020. "Welfare Impact of Asymmetric Price Transmission on Bangladesh Rice Consumers," EconStor Theses, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 242248, January.
    5. Rahman, Mohammad Chhiddikur, 2018. "Welfare Impact of Asymmetric Price Transmission on Bangladesh Rice Consumers," EconStor Theses, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 251114, January.
    6. Sarwar, Muhammad Nadeem & Hussain, Hamid & Maqbool, Muhammad Bilal, 2020. "Pass through effects of oil price on food and non-food prices in Pakistan: A nonlinear ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Sy-Hoa HO, 2015. "Long-run determinants of sovereign bond index in emerging market: New evidence from asymmetric and nonlinear pass-through," Documents de recherche 15-02, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    8. Apergis, Nicholas & Gangopadhyay, Partha, 2020. "The asymmetric relationships between pollution, energy use and oil prices in Vietnam: Some behavioural implications for energy policy-making," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    9. Pal, Debdatta & Mitra, Subrata Kumar, 2019. "Asymmetric oil price transmission to the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar: A multiple threshold NARDL modelling approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    10. Bertsatos, Georgios & Tsounis, Nicholas & Agiomirgianakis, George, 2024. "Handling asymmetries in the trade balance," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 1-13.
    11. Pradeep, Siddhartha, 2022. "Impact of diesel price reforms on asymmetricity of oil price pass-through to inflation: Indian perspective," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    12. Falk, Martin & Lin, Xiang, 2018. "Sensitivity of winter tourism to temperature increases over the last decades," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 174-183.
    13. Panagiotou, Dimitrios, 2021. "Asymmetric price responses of the US pork retail prices to farm and wholesale price shocks: A nonlinear ARDL approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    14. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Nor, Safwan Mohd & Ferrer, Roman & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2017. "Asymmetric determinants of CDS spreads: U.S. industry-level evidence through the NARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 211-230.
    15. Lindström, Hanna, 2021. "Price transmission for organic and conventional milk products in Sweden," Umeå Economic Studies 999, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
    16. Sharma, Chandan & Pal, Debdatta, 2018. "Exchange rate volatility and India's cross-border trade: A pooled mean group and nonlinear cointegration approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 230-246.
    17. Assad Ullah & Xinshun Zhao & Muhammad Abdul Kamal & Jiajia Zheng, 2022. "Environmental regulations and inward FDI in China: Fresh evidence from the asymmetric autoregressive distributed lag approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1340-1356, January.
    18. Chang, Tsangyao & Chen, Wen-Yi, 2017. "Revisiting the relationship between suicide and unemployment: Evidence from linear and nonlinear cointegration," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 266-278.
    19. Roy, Rudra Prosad & Sinha Roy, Saikat, 2022. "Commodity futures prices pass-through and monetary policy in India: Does asymmetry matter?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    20. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2021. "Asymmetric effect of exchange rate volatility on India's cross‐border trade: Evidence from global financial crisis and multiple threshold nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 64-97, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:26:y:2022:i:3:p:1600-1617. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=1363-6669 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.