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Predictive Model Assessment for Count Data

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  • Claudia Czado
  • Tilmann Gneiting
  • Leonhard Held

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  • Claudia Czado & Tilmann Gneiting & Leonhard Held, 2009. "Predictive Model Assessment for Count Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 65(4), pages 1254-1261, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:biomet:v:65:y:2009:i:4:p:1254-1261
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2009.01191.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wang, Peiming & Cockburn, Iain M & Puterman, Martin L, 1998. "Analysis of Patent Data--A Mixed-Poisson-Regression-Model Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(1), pages 27-41, January.
    2. Roman Liesenfeld & Ingmar Nolte & Winfried Pohlmeier, 2008. "Modelling financial transaction price movements: a dynamic integer count data model," Studies in Empirical Economics, in: Luc Bauwens & Winfried Pohlmeier & David Veredas (ed.), High Frequency Financial Econometrics, pages 167-197, Springer.
    3. Tilmann Gneiting & Fadoua Balabdaoui & Adrian E. Raftery, 2007. "Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 69(2), pages 243-268, April.
    4. R. Winkler & Javier Muñoz & José Cervera & José Bernardo & Gail Blattenberger & Joseph Kadane & Dennis Lindley & Allan Murphy & Robert Oliver & David Ríos-Insua, 1996. "Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 5(1), pages 1-60, June.
    5. Vuong, Quang H, 1989. "Likelihood Ratio Tests for Model Selection and Non-nested Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 307-333, March.
    6. Gneiting, Tilmann & Raftery, Adrian E., 2007. "Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 359-378, March.
    7. Diebold, Francis X & Gunther, Todd A & Tay, Anthony S, 1998. "Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 863-883, November.
    8. Wecker, William E, 1989. "Assessing the Accuracy of Time Series Model Forecasts of Count Observations: Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(4), pages 418-419, October.
    9. Grammig, Joachim & Kehrle, Kerstin, 2008. "A new marked point process model for the federal funds rate target: Methodology and forecast evaluation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 2370-2396, July.
    10. McCabe, B.P.M. & Martin, G.M., 2005. "Bayesian predictions of low count time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 315-330.
    11. Peiming Wang & Iain Cockburn & Martin L. Puterman, "undated". "A Mixed Poisson Regression Model for Analysis of Patent Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1996 _049, Society for Computational Economics.
    12. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    13. Ole F. Christensen & Rasmus Waagepetersen, 2002. "Bayesian Prediction of Spatial Count Data Using Generalized Linear Mixed Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 58(2), pages 280-286, June.
    14. Brockwell, A.E., 2007. "Universal residuals: A multivariate transformation," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(14), pages 1473-1478, August.
    15. Rainer Winkelmann, 2008. "Econometric Analysis of Count Data," Springer Books, Springer, edition 0, number 978-3-540-78389-3, June.
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