Do Stock Markets Catch the Flu? We examine the impact of influenza on the U.S. stock market. A higher incidence of flu is associated with decreased trading, decreased volatility, and higher bid-ask spreads. We also find some evidence that more flu implies lower stock returns. Consistent with the flu affecting institutional investors and market-makers, the decrease in trading activity and volatility is primarily driven by the incidence of influenza in the greater New York City area. However, the effect of the flu on bid-ask spreads and returns is driven by the incidence of flu nationally. We provide estimates of the potential impacts of a pandemic on equity returns
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- Kathy Czyrnik & Linda Schmid Klein, 2004. "Who Benefits from Deregulating the Separation of Banking Activities? Differential Effects on Commercial Bank, Investment Bank, and Thrift Stock Returns," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 39(2), pages 317-341, 05.
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