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Impact of Internal Migration On Political Participation in Turkey

  • Ali T. Akarca

    (University of Illinois at Chicago)

  • Aysýt Tansel

    (Middle East Technical University)

During last sixty years, Turkish population moved from one province to another at the rate of about 7-8 percent per five-year interval. As a consequence of this massive internal migration, population residing in a province other than the one they were born in increased from 12 percent in 1950 to 39 percent in 2011. Impact of this population instability on provincial turnout rates in 2011 parliamentary election is studied, controlling for the effects of other socio-economic, demographic, political and institutional factors. Consequences of migration both at destinations and origins are considered. According to robust regressions estimated, the relationship between turnout and education is inverse U-shaped, and between turnout and age, U-shaped. The latter reflects generational differences as well. Large population, large number parliament members to be elected from a constituency, participation by large number of parties, and existence of a dominant party depress the turnout rate. A percentage increase in the proportion of emigrants among the people born in a province reduces turnout rate in that province by 0.13 percentage points, while a percentage increase in the ratio of immigrants in the population of a province reduces it by 0.06 percentage points. However, at destinations where large numbers of immigrants from different regions are concentrated, the opportunity afforded to immigrants to elect one of their own, reduces the latter adverse impact significantly and in some cases turns it to positive.

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Paper provided by Turkish Economic Association in its series Working Papers with number 2014/4.

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Length: 11 pages
Date of creation: 2014
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:tek:wpaper:2014/4
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  1. Zaman, Asad & Rousseeuw, Peter J. & Orhan, Mehmet, 2001. "Econometric applications of high-breakdown robust regression techniques," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 1-8, April.
  2. Resul Cesur & Naci Mocan, 2014. "Does Secular Education Impact Religiosity, Electoral Participation and the Propensity to Vote for Islamic Parties? Evidence from an Education Reform in a Muslim Country," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1422, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  3. Ali T. AKARCA & Cem BAŞLEVENT, 2010. "The region-of-origin effect on voting behavior: The case of Turkey’s internal migrants," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 25(297), pages 9-36.
  4. Akarca, Ali T. & Tansel, Aysit, 2007. "Social and Economic Determinants of Turkish Voter Choice in the 1995 Parliamentary Election," IZA Discussion Papers 2881, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
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