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Perspectives 2008-2009. Zone euro : touchée... mais pas coulée

Author

Listed:
  • Christophe Blot

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Sabine Le Bayon

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

En léger recul par rapport à l’année 2006, la croissance en 2007 est néanmoins restée dynamique à 2,6 % et, pour la première fois depuis 2001, supérieure à celle des États-Unis. Les mauvaises nouvelles, venues à la fois de la déconfiture du système financier mondial, de l’envolée de l’euro et de la résurgence de tensions inflationnistes ont cependant terni les performances économiques des pays de la zone euro au dernier trimestre 2007 et pèseront forcément sur la conjoncture dans les trimestres à venir. Mais la situation ne serait pas aussi dégradée qu’aux États-Unis. La croissance de la zone euro ne ferait alors que retrouver un sentier de croissance (2,0 % en 2008 et 2,2 % en 2009) proche de son potentiel, ne tombant pas dans la dépression mais ne réussissant pas à entretenir le dynamisme qui avait vu le jour en 2006 et 2007 (...).

Suggested Citation

  • Christophe Blot & Sabine Le Bayon, 2008. "Perspectives 2008-2009. Zone euro : touchée... mais pas coulée," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/6429, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6429
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marion Cochard & Danielle Schweisguth, 2013. "Austérité en Europe : changement de cap ?," Post-Print hal-01025049, HAL.
    2. Marion Cochard & Gérard Cornilleau & Eric Heyer, 2010. "Les marchés du travail dans la crise," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 438(1), pages 181-204.
    3. Christophe Blot & Marion Cochard, 2010. "Compétitivité des pays de la zone euro : le coût de la compétitivité à tout prix," Post-Print hal-01023894, HAL.
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    5. Sarah Holton & Martina Lawless & Fergal McCann, 2013. "SME Financing Conditions in Europe: Credit Crunch or Fundamentals?," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 225(1), pages 52-67, August.
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    7. Chiara Bentivogli & Patrizio Pagano, 1999. "Regional Disparities and Labour Mobility: the Euro-11 versus the USA," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 13(3), pages 737-760, September.
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