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Financial stability and economic performance in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Jérôme Creel

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Paul Hubert

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Fabien Labondance

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

This paper aims at establishing the link between economic performance and financial stability in the European Union. We use the seminal framework of Beck and Levine (2004) – both in terms of variables and econometric method – to estimate this causal relationship, independently from but controlling for the level of financial depth. Using a panel GMM with instrumental variables, our contribution involves testing how different measures of financial instability (an institutional index, microeconomic indicators, and our own statistical index derived from a principal component analysis) affect economic performance (or components of aggregate dynamics like consumption, investment and disposable income). We find that financial instability has a negative effect on economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "Financial stability and economic performance in Europe," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/5euk7d0f8t8, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5euk7d0f8t81prfu1k2sspdcok
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Cihak, Martin & Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Feyen, Erik & Levine, Ross, 2013. "Financial Development in 205 Economies, 1960 to 2010," Journal of Financial Perspectives, EY Global FS Institute, vol. 1(2), pages 17-36.
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    5. Ma, Yong & Lin, Xingkai, 2016. "Financial development and the effectiveness of monetary policy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-11.
    6. Berdin, Elia & Sottocornola, Matteo, 2017. "Systemic risk in insurance: Towards a new approach," SAFE Policy Letters 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Research Center SAFE - Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe.
    7. Amaia Altuzarra & Patricia Peinado & Carlos Rodriguez & Felipe Serrano, 2016. "Changes in the relationship between the financial and the real sector and the present financial crisis in the European Union," Working papers wpaper159, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    8. BARRA, Cristian & ZOTTI, Roberto, 2018. "Financial Stability as a Public Policy Goal to Increase Local Economic Development: an Empirical Investigation from Italian Labour Market Areas," CELPE Discussion Papers 154, CELPE - Centre of Labour Economics and Economic Policy, University of Salerno, Italy.
    9. Rubio, Margarita & Carrasco-Gallego, José A., 2016. "Coordinating macroprudential policies within the Euro area: The case of Spain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 570-582.
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    14. Koong, Seow Shin & Law, Siong Hook & Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2017. "Credit expansion and financial stability in Malaysia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 339-350.

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    Keywords

    Financial depth; Aggregate dynamics; Financial stability; Z-score; Non-performing loans; Banks;

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