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Le plan Juncker peut-il nous sortir de l'ornière ?

Author

Listed:
  • Francesco Saraceno

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (OFCE))

  • Sébastien Villemot

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Mathilde Lemoigne

Abstract

Dans cet article nous effectuons un exercice quantitatif simple permettant d’évaluer l’impact du plan Juncker au sein de la zone euro et sa capacité à faire sortir les économies européennes de la situation de trappe à liquidités dans laquelle elles sont à présent. Nous estimons un modèle d’équilibre général inter-temporel et stochastique (DSGE) de l’économie à partir de données agrégées sur la zone euro, dans lequel nous introduisons l’existence de capital public, dans l’esprit de ce qui a été proposé par Leeper et al. (2010). Nous simulons alors un plan d’investissement avec une composante publique et une composante privée, reproduisant l’effet de levier privé attendu dans le plan Juncker.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Saraceno & Sébastien Villemot & Mathilde Lemoigne, 2015. "Le plan Juncker peut-il nous sortir de l'ornière ?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/2l7fq9gfu18, Sciences Po.
    • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2l7fq9gfu18searrqej5n69fs7
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    Keywords

    Investissement; Investissement public; Trappe à liquidités; Plan Juncker;
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