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East Side Story: Historical Pollution and Persistent Neighborhood Sorting

Listed author(s):
  • Stephan Heblich

    ()

    (University of Bristol)

  • Alex Trew

    ()

    (University of St Andrews)

  • Yanos Zylberberg

    ()

    (University of Bristol)

Why are the East sides of former industrial cities like London or New York poorer and more deprived? We argue that this observation is the most visible consequence of the historically unequal distribution of air pollutants across neighborhoods. In this paper, we geolocate nearly 5,000 industrial chimneys in 70 English cities in 1880 and use an atmospheric dispersion model to recreate the spatial distribution of pollution. First, individual-level census data show that pollution induced neighborhood sorting during the course of the nineteenth century. Historical pollution patterns explain up to 15% of within-city deprivation in 1881. Second, these equilibria persist to this day even though the pollution that initially caused them has waned. A quantitative model shows the role of non-linearities and tipping-like dynamics in such persistence.

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File URL: http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~wwwecon/repecfiles/4/1613.pdf
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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of St. Andrews in its series Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics with number 201613.

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Date of creation: 01 Nov 2016
Handle: RePEc:san:wpecon:1613
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