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Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecom Sectors

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  • Željko Bogetic
  • Johannes Fedderke

Abstract

The paper uses a 52-country panel-data for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecom services and, based on these estimates, project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecom for the current growth scenario (3.6% per annum) are of the order of 0.2% and 0.75% of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6% per annum) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Željko Bogetic & Johannes Fedderke, 2005. "Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecom Sectors," Working Papers 36, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  • Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:36
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    File URL: http://www.econrsa.org/node/61
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fay, Marianne & Yepes, Tito, 2003. "Investing in infrastructure : what is needed from 2000 to 2010?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3102, The World Bank.
    2. Fedderke, J.W. & Perkins, P. & Luiz, J.M., 2006. "Infrastructural investment in long-run economic growth: South Africa 1875-2001," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1037-1059, June.
    3. Marianne Fay & Danny Leipziger & Quentin Wodon & Tito Yepes, 2003. "Achieving the Millennium Development Goals : The role of infrastructure," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3163, The World Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fedderke, J.W. & Bogetic, Z., 2009. "Infrastructure and Growth in South Africa: Direct and Indirect Productivity Impacts of 19 Infrastructure Measures," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1522-1539, September.
    2. repec:eee:wdevel:v:97:y:2017:i:c:p:14-26 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Tania Ajam & Aron Janine, 2007. "Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 16(5), pages 745-781, November.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • H - Public Economics
    • R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics
    • O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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