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Assessing the Economic Value of El Niñobased seasonal climate forecasts for smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe

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  • Ephias M. Makaudze

Abstract

Drought constitutes the most dominant source of food insecurity in Zimbabwe and many other countries in Africa. With a majority of smallholder farmers practicing dry-land agriculture, seasonal forecasts hold promise as an effective risk management tool, giving farmers the ability to anticipate rainfall variability early enough to adjust crucial farm decisions and better prepared to […]

Suggested Citation

  • Ephias M. Makaudze, 2012. "Assessing the Economic Value of El Niñobased seasonal climate forecasts for smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe," Working Papers 303, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  • Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:303
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    File URL: https://econrsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/wp303.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Celia M. Reyes & Kathrina G. Gonzales & Canesio D. Predo & Rosalina G. de Guzman, 2009. "Assessing the Value of SCFs on Farm-level Corn Production through Simulation Modeling," Development Economics Working Papers 22688, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    2. Mjelde, James W. & Dixon, Bruce L., 1993. "Valuing the lead time of periodic forecasts in dynamic production systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1-2), pages 41-55.
    3. Gonzales, Kathrina G. & Predo, Canesio D. & de Guzman, Rosalina G. & Reyes, Celia M., 2009. "Assessing the Value of Seasonal Climate Forecasts on Farm-level Corn Production through Simulation Modeling," Discussion Papers DP 2009-05, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    4. Patt, Anthony, 2001. "Understanding uncertainty: forecasting seasonal climate for farmers in Zimbabwe," Risk, Decision and Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(2), pages 105-119, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stanislav E. Shmelev & Vitaliy Salnikov & Galina Turulina & Svetlana Polyakova & Tamara Tazhibayeva & Tobias Schnitzler & Irina A. Shmeleva, 2021. "Climate Change and Food Security: The Impact of Some Key Variables on Wheat Yield in Kazakhstan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-23, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; Other Macroeconomic Variables;

    JEL classification:

    • N5 - Economic History - - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment and Extractive Industries
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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