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Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates in South Africa

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  • Lumengo Bonga-Bonga

Abstract

This paper examines how the short-term and long-term interest rates react to supply, demand and monetary policy shocks in South Africa. Use is made of the impulse response functions obtained from the structural vector autoregressive model with long-term restrictions. We find a positive correlation between the two interest rates after a monetary and demand shock and a negative correlation after a supply shock. The finding of this paper signifies that the operation of the monetary transmission mechanism should be effective in South Africa. Furthermore, the finding of this paper provide an approach to identify supply shocks in the South African business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates in South Africa," Working Papers 125, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  • Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:125
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Meshach Aziakpono & Magdalene Kasyoka Wilson & Jason Manuel, 2007. "Adjustment of Commercial Bank's Interest Rates and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in South Africa," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20.
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    15. C Angelis & Mj Aziakpono & A Pierre Faure, 2005. "The Transmission Of Monetary Policy Under The Repo System In South Africa: An Empirical Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 73(4), pages 657-673, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. EL FAIZ, Zakaria & ZIANI, Manal, 2016. "Influence de la politique monétaire sur le taux long Quelques évidences empiriques, cas du Maroc
      [The impact of monetary on long rates : Some empirical evidence from Morocco]
      ," MPRA Paper 72817, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Turhan, Ibrahim M. & Gumus, Nihat, 2014. "On the relative importance of monetary transmission channels in Turkey," MPRA Paper 69827, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 May 2014.
    3. Smile Dube & Yan Zhou, 2013. "South Africa¡¯s Short and Long Term Interest Rates: A Threshold Cointegration Analysis," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 3(1), pages 187-211, June.
    4. Johannes Peyavali Sheefeni Sheefeni & Teresia Kaulihowa, 2016. "Examining the Relationship between Term Structure of Interest Rates and Economic Activity in Namibia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 2(9), pages 161-168, 09-2016.
    5. Paul Francois Muzindutsi & Sinethemba Mposelwa, 2016. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Brics Countries: A Multivariate Co-integration Approach," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 12(4), pages 289-304, October.

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