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Designing of Middle-Term Prognosis of Pre-School Education Development


  • Belyakov, Sergey

    () (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))


Nowadays in the practice of education authorities there is no prognosis of the economy and finance state, mainly due to the lack of methodology and methods of prognosis that take in account not only different processes in the education system, but also annual changes in its state. As a result of work prognosis connected with a determination of the needs of the education institutions in financial resources for providing training for changing students contingents can be done for no more than 3 years. Existing approaches to prognosis in this sphere is based on strategic documents of the Federal level and can hardly be used for solving problems at the level of subjects of the Russian Federation. Designed in recent years the development Strategies of the Russian regions, mainly, does not reflect the prospects for the development of education systems that are not updated in connection with change of a condition of systems of education, which does not allow to use them as an instrument of prognosis. Current prognosis of development of the education system or poorly take into account economic constraints, or methodologically not fully verified.

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  • Belyakov, Sergey, 2014. "Designing of Middle-Term Prognosis of Pre-School Education Development," Published Papers re9022, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ppaper:re9022

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    education; resourses; prognosis; forecasting; Russia; finance; student;

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