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A multivariate GARCH analysis of equity returns and volatility in Asian equity markets

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew Worthington
  • Helen Higgs

Abstract

This paper examines the transmission of equity returns and volatility among Asian equity markets and investigates the differences that exist in this regard between the developed and emerging markets. Three developed markets (Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore) and six emerging markets (Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Thailand) are included in the analysis. A multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model is used to identify the source and magnitude of spillovers. The results generally indicate the presence of large and predominantly positive mean and volatility spillovers. Nevertheless, mean spillovers from the developed to the emerging markets are not homogenous across the emerging markets, and own-volatility spillovers are generally higher than cross-volatility spillovers for all markets, but especially for the emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Worthington & Helen Higgs, 2001. "A multivariate GARCH analysis of equity returns and volatility in Asian equity markets," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 089, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
  • Handle: RePEc:qut:dpaper:089
    as

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    File URL: http://external-apps.qut.edu.au/business/documents/discussionPapers/2001/Andrew%20Wortho%20-%20No.%2089.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Xiaojing Zhang & Tao Sun, 2009. "Spillovers of the U.S. Subprime Financial Turmoil to Mainland China and Hong Kong SAR; Evidence from Stock Markets," IMF Working Papers 09/166, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Ozun, Alper & Turk, Mehmet, 2010. "Leading Economic Determinants of Foreign Trade Volume in Turkish Agriculture Sector," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 11(1), January.
    3. Sinha, Pankaj & Sinha, Gyanesh, 2010. "Volatility Spillover in India, USA and Japan Investigation of Recession Effects," MPRA Paper 21873, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Kathleen Goffey & Andrew Worthington, 2002. "Motor Vehicle Usage Patterns in Australia: A Comparative Analysis of Driver, Vehicle & Purpose Characteristics for Household & Freight Travel," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 117, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Emerging equity markets; mean and volatility spillovers; multivariate GARCH;

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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