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A monthly indicator of GDP

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  • Dr Martin Weale

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Abstract

Cyclical indicators have hitherto been used as a means of describing the state of the economy on a month by month basis. However, they have proved unsatisfactory for a number of reasons and are now no longer published. This paper summarises a means of producing monthly estimates of GDP from existing monthly data. The technique can be used to extrapolate as well as to interpolate monthly data and therefore provides an indicator of the current state of the economy.
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Suggested Citation

  • Dr Martin Weale, 1997. "A monthly indicator of GDP," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 127, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:nsr:niesrd:2128
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    Cited by:

    1. Allan Layton & Anirvan Banerji, 2003. "What is a recession?: A reprise," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(16), pages 1789-1797.
    2. Gonzalo Camba-Mendez & Ana Lamo, 2004. "Short-term monitoring of fiscal policy discipline," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pages 247-265.
    3. Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu, 2004. "Un indicateur de croissance à court terme au Royaume-Uni," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 89(2), pages 231-251.
    4. Denise R. Osborn & Marianne Sensier, 2009. "Uk Inflation: Persistence, Seasonality And Monetary Policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 56(1), pages 24-44, February.
    5. M Kesriyeli & D R Osborn & M Sensier, 2004. "Nonlinearity and Structural Change in Interest Rate Reaction Functions for the US, UK and Germany," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 44, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
    6. Tena, Juan de Dios & Tremayne, A.R., 2009. "Modelling monetary transmission in UK manufacturing industry," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 1053-1066, September.
    7. Tena Horrillo, Juan de Dios & Otranto, Edoardo, 2006. "Modelling the discrete and infrequent official interest rate change in the UK," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws062007, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    8. Mateusz Pipień & Sylwia Roszkowska, 2015. "Quarterly estimates of regional GDP in Poland – application of statistical inference of functions of parameters," NBP Working Papers 219, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.

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