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Determinants of Angola’s Parallel Market Real Exchange Rate

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  • Jun Nagayasu
  • Enrique A Gelbard

Abstract

The paper estimates Angola’s equilibrium parallel market real exchange rate during the 1992–98 period. Using standard integration/co-integration techniques, the results fail to support the purchasing power parity hypothesis and indicate that two exogenous variables—the price of oil and the foreign interest rate—are able to explain most of the variation in the real exchange rate during the last seven years. These results contrast with the tenet that the parallel market exchange rate in Angola is solely influenced by monetary developments.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun Nagayasu & Enrique A Gelbard, 1999. "Determinants of Angola’s Parallel Market Real Exchange Rate," IMF Working Papers 99/90, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:99/90
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    Cited by:

    1. Mkenda, Beatrice Kalinda, 2001. "Long-run and Short-run Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate in Zambia," Working Papers in Economics 40, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    2. Mohsen Fardmanesh & Seymour Douglas, 2003. "Foreign Exchange Controls, Fiscal and Monetary Policy, and the Black Market Premium," Working Papers 876, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Gour G. Goswami, 2005. "Black Market Exchange Rates and Purchasing Power Parity in Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 37-52, May.
    4. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Gour G. Goswami, 2005. "Black Market Exchange Rates and Purchasing Power Parity in Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 41(3), pages 37-52, May.
    5. Mina Baliamoune-Lutz, 2010. "Black and official exchange rates in Morocco: an analysis of their long-run behaviour and short-run dynamics (1974-1992)," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(27), pages 3481-3490.

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