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Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises

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  • Paul R Masson

Abstract

The paper surveys the types of models producing multiple equilibria in financial markets. It argues that such models are consistent with observed phenomena, such as the greater volatility of financial asset prices than of macroeconomic fundamentals. Alternative explanations are compared with the stylized facts concerning capital flows, portfolio shifts, and exchange rate crises. Implications for crisis prediction and prevention are then discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul R Masson, 1999. "Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises," IMF Working Papers 99/164, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:99/164
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    Keywords

    Financial crisis; Capital markets; contagion; multiple equilibria; currency crisis; capital flows; speculative attack; capital account liberalization; bank runs;

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