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A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers

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  • Richard Varghese
  • Yuanyan Sophia Zhang

Abstract

ECB President Draghi’s Jackson Hole speech in August 2014 arguably marked a new phase of unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) in the euro area. This paper examines the market impact and tranmission channels of this new wave of UMPs using a modified event study framework. They are found to have a more prominent impact on inflation expectations and exchange rates compared to the earlier UMP announcements. The impact on bank equity, however, is less significant in part due to narrowing profit margin in a low interest rate environment; and the marginal effect on sovereign spread compression has diminished. By extracting components of monetary policy shocks from the yield curve, we find that the traditional signaling channel of the monetary policy transmission continued to play an important role, but the portfolio rebalancing channel became more important in the new phase. Spillovers to non-euro area EU countries (the Czech Republic, Denmark, Poland, and Sweden) are transmitted mainly through the portfolio rebalancing channel, largely affecting sovereign yields and exchange rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Varghese & Yuanyan Sophia Zhang, 2018. "A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers," IMF Working Papers 18/11, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:18/11
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, Siwen, 2019. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of the ECB’s Asset Purchase Programme in a Dynamic Nelson–Siegel Modelling Framework," MPRA Paper 92530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Siekmann, Helmut, 2019. "The Asset Purchase Programmes of the ESCB - an interdisciplinary evaluation," IMFS Working Paper Series 134, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    3. Stephanie Titzck & Jan Willem van den End, 2019. "The impact of size, composition and duration of the central bank balance sheet on inflation expectations and market prices," DNB Working Papers 627, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.

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