IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/15-75.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

How Did Markets React to Stress Tests?

Author

Listed:
  • Bertrand Candelon
  • Amadou N Sy

Abstract

We use event study methods to compare the market reaction to U.S. and EU-wide stress tests performed from 2009 to 2013. Typically, stress tests have a positive impact on stressed banks’ returns. While the 2009 U.S. stress test had a large positive outcome, the impact of subsequent U.S. exercises decreased over time. The 2011 EU exercise is the only EU-wide stress test that resulted in a significant negative market reaction. Comparing past exercises suggests that the qualitative aspects of the governance of stress tests can matter more for stock market participants than technical elements, such as the level of the minimum capital adequacy threshold or the extent of data disclosure.

Suggested Citation

  • Bertrand Candelon & Amadou N Sy, 2015. "How Did Markets React to Stress Tests?," IMF Working Papers 15/75, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:15/75
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=42831
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Larry D Wall, 2014. "The adoption of stress testing: Why the Basel capital measures were not enough," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(3-4), pages 266-276, September.
    2. Bernanke, Ben S., 2013. "Stress Testing Banks: What Have We Learned? : a speech at the "Maintaining Financial Stability: Holding a Tiger by the Tail" financial markets conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Ban," Speech 624, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Chan-Lau, Jorge A. & Liu, Estelle X. & Schmittmann, Jochen M., 2015. "Equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 164-172.
    4. Petrella, Giovanni & Resti, Andrea, 2013. "Supervisors as information producers: Do stress tests reduce bank opaqueness?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5406-5420.
    5. Li L Ong & Ceyla Pazarbasioglu, 2013. "Credibility and Crisis Stress Testing," IMF Working Papers 13/178, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Flannery, Mark & Hirtle, Beverly & Kovner, Anna, 2017. "Evaluating the information in the federal reserve stress tests," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-18.
    2. Marcelo Fernandes & Deniz O Igan & Marcelo Pinheiro, 2015. "March Madness in Wall Street; (What) Does the Market Learn from Stress Tests?," IMF Working Papers 15/271, International Monetary Fund.
    3. repec:eee:riibaf:v:43:y:2018:i:c:p:79-89 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Lukas Ahnert & Pascal Vogt & Volker Vonhoff & Florian Weigert, 2018. "The Impact of Regulatory Stress Testing on Bank's Equity and CDS Performance," Working Papers on Finance 1814, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    5. Thomas Philippon & Pierre Pessarossi & Boubacar Camara, 2017. "Backtesting European Stress Tests," NBER Working Papers 23083, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. repec:ksa:szemle:1714 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. repec:eee:finsta:v:32:y:2017:i:c:p:86-98 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Christoph Aymanns & J. Doyne Farmer & Alissa M. Keinniejenhuis & Thom Wetzer, 2017. "Models of Financial Stability and their Application in Stress Tests," Working Papers on Finance 1805, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    9. Marcelo Fernandes & Deniz Igan & Marcelo Pinheiro, 2015. "March Madness in Wall Street: (What) Does the Market Learn from Stress Tests?," Working Papers 771, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    10. Carboni, Marika & Fiordelisi, Franco & Ricci, Ornella & Lopes, Francesco Saverio Stentella, 2017. "Surprised or not surprised? The investors’ reaction to the comprehensive assessment preceding the launch of the banking union," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 122-132.
    11. Paul S. Calem & Ricardo Correa & Seung Jung Lee, 2016. "Prudential Policies and Their Impact on Credit in the United States," International Finance Discussion Papers 1186, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Batten,, Sandra & Sowerbutts, Rhiannon & Tanaka, Misa, 2016. "Let’s talk about the weather: the impact of climate change on central banks," Bank of England working papers 603, Bank of England.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:15/75. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jim Beardow) or (Hassan Zaidi). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.