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Systemic Risk; A New Trade-off for Monetary Policy?

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  • Stefan Laseen
  • Andrea Pescatori
  • Jarkko Turunen

Abstract

We introduce time-varying systemic risk in an otherwise standard New-Keynesian model to study whether a simple leaning-against-the-wind policy can reduce systemic risk and improve welfare. We find that an unexpected increase in policy rates reduces output, inflation, and asset prices without fundamentally mitigating financial risks. We also find that while a systematic monetary policy reaction can improve welfare, it is too simplistic: (1) it is highly sensitive to parameters of the model and (2) is detrimental in the presence of falling asset prices. Macroprudential policy, similar to a countercyclical capital requirement, is more robust and leads to higher welfare gains.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Laseen & Andrea Pescatori & Jarkko Turunen, 2015. "Systemic Risk; A New Trade-off for Monetary Policy?," IMF Working Papers 15/142, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:15/142
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    Cited by:

    1. Itai Agur & Maria Demertzis, 2015. "Will Macroprudential Policy Counteract Monetary Policy’s Effects on Financial Stability?," IMF Working Papers 15/283, International Monetary Fund.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Endogenous Financial Risk; DSGE models; Non-Linear Dynamics; Policy Evaluation; financial sector; welfare; prices; equity;

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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