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Italian Sovereign Spreads; Their Determinants and Pass-through to Bank Funding Costs and Lending Conditions

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  • Edda Zoli

Abstract

Volatility in Italian sovereign spreads has increased since mid-2011. This paper finds that news on the euro area debt crisis and country specific events were important drivers of sovereign spreads. Movements in sovereign spreads affect CDS spreads and bond yields of Italian banks, and are transmitted rapidly to firm lending rates. Banks with lower capital ratios and higher nonperforming loans were found to be more sensitive to swings in sovereign spreads. Credit supply constraints due to bank funding shortages from the sovereign debt crisis were a major factor behind the lending slowdown in late 2011, while in 2012 weak demand appears to have been driving changes in credit more than supply.

Suggested Citation

  • Edda Zoli, 2013. "Italian Sovereign Spreads; Their Determinants and Pass-through to Bank Funding Costs and Lending Conditions," IMF Working Papers 13/84, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:13/84
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    Cited by:

    1. de Haan, Leo & Hessel, Jeroen & van den End, Jan Willem, 2014. "Are European sovereign bonds fairly priced? The role of modelling uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 239-267.
    2. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Kuester, Keith & Meier, André & Müller, Gernot J., 2014. "Sovereign risk and belief-driven fluctuations in the euro area," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 53-73.
    3. Jan in 't Veld, 2013. "Fiscal consolidations and spillovers in the Euro area periphery and core," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 506, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    4. Dennis Bonam & Bart Hobijn, 2016. "Generalized stability of monetary unions under regime switching in monetary and fiscal policies," DNB Working Papers 524, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    5. Paolo Angelini & Giuseppe Grande & Fabio Panetta, 2014. "The negative feedback loop between banks and sovereigns," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 213, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Alberto Locarno & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2013. "Sovereign risk, monetary policy and fiscal multipliers: a structural model-based assessment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 943, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Anamaria Illes & Marco Lombardi & Paul Mizen, 2015. "Why Did Bank Lending Rates Diverge from Policy Rates After the Financial Crisis?," Discussion Papers 2015/05, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    8. Albertazzi, Ugo & Ropele, Tiziano & Sene, Gabriele & Signoretti, Federico Maria, 2014. "The impact of the sovereign debt crisis on the activity of Italian banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 387-402.
    9. Cantero-Saiz, Maria & Sanfilippo-Azofra, Sergio & Torre-Olmo, Begoña & López-Gutiérrez, Carlos, 2014. "Sovereign risk and the bank lending channel in Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-20.
    10. Wolfinger, Julia & Köhler, Ekkehard, 2017. "The Draghi-Put: When unexpected words on joint liability speak louder than actions," Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168265, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Gregor, Jiri & Melecky, Martin, 2018. "The Pass-Through of Monetary Policy Rate to Lending Rates: The Role of Macro-financial Factors," MPRA Paper 84048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Italy; Technical Note on the Financial Situation of Italian Households and Non-Financial Corporations and Risks to the Banking System," IMF Staff Country Reports 13/348, International Monetary Fund.
    13. repec:spr:italej:v:3:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s40797-016-0043-x is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Italy; Italian sovereign spreads; bank funding costs; lending conditions; bond; bonds; government bond; bond yields; bond spreads; Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy; Asset Pricing;

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