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Rebalancing; Evidence from Current Account Adjustment in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Ruben V Atoyan
  • Jonathan F Manning
  • Jesmin Rahman

Abstract

After the 2003-2007 economic boom, European countries with large pre-crisis current account imbalances are undergoing adjustments. Countries are adjusting at different paces and ways reflecting the source and magnitude of imbalances, availability of financing, competitiveness of the tradable sector and external environment. While emerging European countries with large pre-crisis imbalances and a fixed exchange rate regime have seen sharp current account adjustments and a rebound in growth, adjustment in the euro zone periphery countries, which are also carrying a legacy of pre-crisis CA imbalances, has been gradual with difficulties bringing back growth. This paper is an empirical investigation of current account adjustment in Europe with a focus on these two groups, looking at contributions from cyclical and other factors, and seeking to draw policy conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruben V Atoyan & Jonathan F Manning & Jesmin Rahman, 2013. "Rebalancing; Evidence from Current Account Adjustment in Europe," IMF Working Papers 13/74, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:13/74
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hans-Werner Sinn & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2012. "Target loans, current account balances and capital flows: the ECB’s rescue facility," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 19(4), pages 468-508, August.
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    4. Herrmann, Sabine & Winkler, Adalbert, 2009. "Real convergence, financial markets, and the current account - Emerging Europe versus emerging Asia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 100-123, August.
    5. Jesmin Rahman, 2010. "Absorption Boom and Fiscal Stance; What Lies Ahead in Eastern Europe?," IMF Working Papers 10/97, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Silvia Merler & Jean Pisani-Ferry, 2012. "Sudden Stops in the Euro Area," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 3(3).
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    8. Jesmin Rahman, 2008. "Current Account Developments in New Member States of the European Union; Equilibrium, Excess, and EU-Phoria," IMF Working Papers 08/92, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Anja Baum & Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro & Anke Weber, 2012. "Fiscal Multipliers and the State of the Economy," IMF Working Papers 12/286, International Monetary Fund.
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    Blog mentions

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    1. Où en est l'ajustement extérieur des pays périphériques ?
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-07-26 22:03:00

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Behrendt, 2014. "The Fiscal Compact and Current Account Patterns in Europe," Global Financial Markets Working Paper Series 2014-52, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    2. Raza, Hamid & Zoega, Gylfi & Kinsella, Stephen, 2018. "Capital inflows, crisis and recovery in small open economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 273-282.
    3. Friesenbichler, Klaus S. & Glocker, Christian, 2019. "Tradability and productivity growth differentials across EU Member States," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-13.
    4. Elena Angelini & Michele Ca’ Zorzi & Katrin Forster van Aerssen, 2016. "External and Macroeconomic Adjustment in the Larger Euro-Area Countries," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 269-291, December.
    5. Iancu, Aurel & Olteanu, Dan, 2015. "Fiscal Consolidation by Austerity and EU Surveillance Policies," Working Papers of National Institute of Economic Research 151209, National Institute of Economic Research.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Bulgaria; Selected Issues Paper," IMF Staff Country Reports 15/120, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Kapur, Muneesh & Mohan, Rakesh, 2014. "India’s Recent Macroeconomic Performance: An Assessment and the Way Forward," India Policy Forum, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 10(1), pages 205-295.
    8. Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih & Omay, Tolga, 2019. "Current Account and Credit Growth: The Role of Household Credit and Financial Depth," MPRA Paper 93882, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Yýlmaz Akyüz, 2014. "Crisis Mismanagement in The United States And Europe: Impact On Developing Countries And Longer-Term Consequences," Working Papers 2014/3, Turkish Economic Association.
    10. Michael Landesmann & Doris Hanzl-Weiss, 2016. "Correcting external imbalances in the European economy," Chapters,in: Boosting European Competitiveness, chapter 3, pages 14-36 Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Joong S Kang & Jay C Shambaugh, 2013. "The Evolution of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics; Many Paths to the Same Endpoint," IMF Working Papers 13/169, International Monetary Fund.
    12. di Mauro, Filippo & Pappadà, Francesco, 2014. "Euro area external imbalances and the burden of adjustment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 336-356.
    13. Joong S Kang & Jay C Shambaugh, 2014. "Progress Towards External Adjustment in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics," IMF Working Papers 14/131, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Thierry Tressel & Shengzu Wang, 2014. "Rebalancing in the Euro Area and Cyclicality of Current Account Adjustments," IMF Working Papers 14/130, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Gunnella, Vanessa & Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Benkovskis, Konstantins & Chiacchio, Francesco & de Soyres, François & Di Lupidio, Benedetta & Fidora, Michael & Franco-Bedoya, Sebastian & Frohm, Erik & G, 2019. "The impact of global value chains on the euro area economy," Occasional Paper Series 221, European Central Bank.
    16. Enrique Moral-Benito & Francesca Viani, 2017. "An anatomy of the spanish current account adjustment: the role of permanent and transitory factors," Working Papers 1737, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.

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