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Global Financial Crisis, Financial Contagion, and Emerging Markets

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  • F. Gulcin Ozkan
  • Filiz D Unsal

Abstract

The recent global financial crisis was the first in recent history that was triggered by problems in the financial system of the mature economies. Existing work on financial crisis in emerging market countries, however, almost exclusively focus on the role of financial frictions in the domestic economy. In contrast, we propose a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis that originates from financial frictions in the rest of the world. We find that the scale of financial spillovers from the global to the domestic economy and trade openness are key determinants of the severity of the financial crisis for the domestic economy. Our results also suggest that the welfare ranking of alternative monetary policy regimes is determined by the degree of financial contagion, the degree of trade openness as well as the scale of foreign currency denominated debt in the domestic economy.

Suggested Citation

  • F. Gulcin Ozkan & Filiz D Unsal, 2012. "Global Financial Crisis, Financial Contagion, and Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 12/293, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:12/293
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ricardo Félix & Gabriela Castro & José Maria & Paulo Júlio, 2013. "Fiscal Multipliers in a Small Euro Area Economy: How Big Can They Get in Crisis Times?," EcoMod2013 5307, EcoMod.
    2. Can Sever, 2016. "Contagion: Recent Models in International Finance Literature," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(2), pages 59-66, June.
    3. Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2016. "Particularitǎţi ale evoluţiei variabilelor financiare
      [Some particularities of the financial variables evolution]
      ," MPRA Paper 73481, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Sep 2016.
    4. Mara Pirovano, 2013. "Household and firm leverage, capital flows and monetary policy in a small open economy," Working Paper Research 246, National Bank of Belgium.
    5. F. Gulcin Ozkan & Filiz D Unsal, 2014. "On the use of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for Small Open Economies," IMF Working Papers 14/112, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Kang, Hyunju & Suh, Hyunduk, 2015. "Reverse spillover: Evidence during emerging market financial turmoil in 2013–2014," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 97-115.
    7. F. Gulcin Ozkan & D. Filiz Unsal, 2013. "On the use of monetary and macroprudential policies for financial stability in emerging markets," Discussion Papers 13/14, Department of Economics, University of York.
    8. F. Gulcin Ozkan & D. Filiz Unsal, 2015. "Get ready for the Fed lift-off: The role of macroprudential policy," Discussion Papers 15/25, Department of Economics, University of York.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic models; Economic integration; External shocks; Emerging markets; Financial crisis; Spillovers; Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009; Sudden stops; Trade integration; domestic economy; exchange rate regime; trade openness; General;

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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