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Recovery Determinants of Distressed Banks; Regulators, Market Discipline, or the Environment?

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  • Michael Koetter
  • Tigran Poghosyan
  • Thomas Kick

Abstract

Based on detailed regulatory intervention data among German banks during 1994-2008, we test if supervisory measures affect the likelihood and the timing of bank recovery. Severe regulatory measures increase both the likelihood of recovery and its duration while weak measures are insignificant. With the benefit of hindsight, we exclude banks that eventually exit the market due to restructuring mergers. Our results remain intact, thus providing no evidence of "bad" bank selection for intervention purposes on the side of regulators. More transparent publication requirements of public incorporation that indicate more exposure to market discipline are barely or not at all significant. Increasing earnings and cleaning credit portfolios are consistently of importance to increase recovery likelihood, whereas earnings growth accelerates the timing of recovery. Macroeconomic conditions also matter for bank recovery. Hence, concerted micro- and macro-prudential policies are key to facilitate distressed bank recovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Koetter & Tigran Poghosyan & Thomas Kick, 2010. "Recovery Determinants of Distressed Banks; Regulators, Market Discipline, or the Environment?," IMF Working Papers 10/27, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:10/27
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    Cited by:

    1. von Furstenberg, George M., 2011. "Contingent capital to strengthen the private safety net for financial institutions: Cocos to the rescue?," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2011,01, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. repec:eee:finana:v:55:y:2018:i:c:p:226-240 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Düwel, Cornelia & Frey, Rainer & Lipponer, Alexander, 2011. "Cross-border bank lending, risk aversion and the financial crisis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,29, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. G. de Cadenas-Santiago & L. de Mesa & A. Sanchís, 2010. "Systemic Risk, an Empirical Approach," Economic Reports 17-2010, FEDEA.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank regulations; Bank resolution; Bank soundness; Banking crisis; Bank supervision; Banks; Credit risk; Economic models; Germany; Risk management; Bank distress; capital support; regulation; recovery; banking; deposit insurance; financial services; financial markets;

    JEL classification:

    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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