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A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India

Author

Listed:
  • Muneesh Kapur
  • Michael Debabrata Patra

Abstract

A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns out to be the dominant focus of monetary policy, accompanied by a strong commitment to the stabilization of output. Recent policy actions have raised the effective policy rate, but the estimated neutral policy rate suggests some further tightening to normalize the policy stance.

Suggested Citation

  • Muneesh Kapur & Michael Debabrata Patra, 2010. "A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India," IMF Working Papers 10/183, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:10/183
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Edward Nelson, 2000. "UK monetary policy 1972-97: a guide using Taylor rules," Bank of England working papers 120, Bank of England.
    2. Charles Goodhart & Boris Hofmann, 2005. "The Phillips Curve, the IS Curve and Monetary Transmission: Evidence for the US and the Euro Area," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 51(4), pages 757-775.
    3. Raghbendra Jha, 2008. "Inflation targeting in India: issues and prospects," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 259-270.
    4. Inoue, Takeshi & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2009. "An Empirical Analysis of the Monetary Policy Reaction Function in India," IDE Discussion Papers 200, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    5. Juan Paez-Farrell, 2009. "Monetary policy rules in theory and in practice: evidence from the UK and the US," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(16), pages 2037-2046.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Madhusudan Mohanty & Kumar Rishabh, 2016. "Financial intermediation and monetary policy transmission in EMEs: What has changed post-2008 crisis?," BIS Working Papers 546, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, 2013. "Are there Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy in India?," MPRA Paper 53059, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Yanamandra, Venkataramana, 2015. "Exchange rate changes and inflation in India: What is the extent of exchange rate pass-through to imports?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 57-68.
    4. Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, 2013. "A Note on Differential Asymmetric Effects of Money Supply and Policy Rate Shocks in India," MPRA Paper 53058, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Sen Gupta Abhijit & Sengupta Rajeswari, 2016. "Is India Ready for Inflation Targeting?," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 16(3), pages 479-509, September.
    6. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Sahu, Sohini & Jha, Saakshi, 2016. "Estimation of Unobserved Inflation Expectations in India using State-Space Model," MPRA Paper 72710, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Josheski Dushko & Eftimoski Dimitar, 2016. "Application of Is-Mp-Ia Model and Taylor Rule to Cesee Economies," Economics and Culture, De Gruyter Open, vol. 13(1), pages 5-13, June.
    8. Pranjul Bhandari & Jeffrey Frankel, 2014. "The Best of Rules and Discretion: A Case for Nominal GDP Targeting in India," CID Working Papers 284, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    9. repec:dgr:rugsom:12011-eef is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:eee:reecon:v:71:y:2017:i:3:p:491-506 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Samarina, A.., 2012. "Monetary targeting and financial system characteristics," Research Report 12011-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    12. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "India; 2010 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for India," IMF Staff Country Reports 11/50, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Rahul Anand & Ding Ding & Volodymyr Tulin, 2014. "Food Inflation in India; The Role for Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 14/178, International Monetary Fund.
    14. repec:ris:badest:0581 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Bhandari, Pranjul & Frankel, Jeffrey, 2017. "Nominal GDP targeting for developing countries," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 491-506.

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