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A Monetary Policy Model without Money for India

  • Muneesh Kapur
  • Michael Debabrata Patra
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    A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns out to be the dominant focus of monetary policy, accompanied by a strong commitment to the stabilization of output. Recent policy actions have raised the effective policy rate, but the estimated neutral policy rate suggests some further tightening to normalize the policy stance.

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    Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 10/183.

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    Length: 62
    Date of creation: 01 Aug 2010
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:10/183
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    1. Juan Paez-Farrell, 2009. "Monetary policy rules in theory and in practice: evidence from the UK and the US," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(16), pages 2037-2046.
    2. Raghbendra Jha, 2005. "Inflation Targeting In India: Issues And Prospects," CAMA Working Papers 2005-28, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Inoue, Takeshi & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2009. "An Empirical Analysis of the Monetary Policy Reaction Function in India," IDE Discussion Papers 200, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
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