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External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis; What is Different This Time?

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  • F. Gulcin Ozkan
  • Filiz D Unsal

Abstract

This paper develops a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis to a small open economy. We find that economies hit by a sudden stop arising from financial distress in the global economy are likely to face a more prolonged crisis than sudden stop episodes of domestic origin. Moreover, in contrast to the existing literature, our results suggest that the greater a country's trade integration with the rest of the world, the greater the response of its macroeconomic aggregates to a sudden stop of capital flows.

Suggested Citation

  • F. Gulcin Ozkan & Filiz D Unsal, 2010. "External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis; What is Different This Time?," IMF Working Papers 10/158, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:10/158
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie & Uribe, Martin, 2003. "Closing small open economy models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 163-185, October.
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    6. Christiano, Lawrence J. & Gust, Christopher & Roldos, Jorge, 2004. "Monetary policy in a financial crisis," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 64-103, November.
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    13. Bernanke, Ben S. & Gertler, Mark & Gilchrist, Simon, 1999. "The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework," Handbook of Macroeconomics,in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 21, pages 1341-1393 Elsevier.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. D. Filiz Unsal, 2013. "Capital Flows and Financial Stability: Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Responses," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 9(1), pages 233-285, March.
    2. Selim Elekdag & Harun Alp, 2011. "The Role of Monetary Policy in Turkey During the Global Financial Crisis," IMF Working Papers 11/150, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Gorazd Sedmak & Tanja Planinc, 2011. "The Effect of the Economic Crisis on Tourist Behaviour," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 4(1), pages 35-42.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central banking; Emerging markets; Financial crises; Monetary policy; Sudden stops; entrepreneurs; domestic economy; entrepreneur; open economy; domestic goods; And The Supply Of Money And Credit; international Finance; macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance;

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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