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An Anatomy of Credit Booms; Evidence From Macro Aggregates and Micro Data

  • Marco Terrones
  • Enrique G. Mendoza

We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit booms and leverage ratios, firm values, and banking fragility. We also find that credit booms are larger in emerging economies, particularly in the nontradables sector; most emerging markets crises are associated with credit booms; and credit booms in emerging economies are often preceded by large capital inflows but not by financial reforms or productivity gains.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 08/226.

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Length: 50
Date of creation: 01 Sep 2008
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/226
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