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Capital Flows and Economic Fluctuations; The Role of Commercial Banks in Transmitting Shocks


  • Yong Sarah Zhou


This paper uses a general equilibrium model to examine the central role played by commercial banks in intermediating and amplifying the capital flow shocks to the local economy in the 1997 Asia financial crisis. It finds that a sudden stop of capital inflows affects the equilibrium credit supply through two channels: first, the plunge of foreign financing decreases the loanable funds directly; and second the sudden stop drives up the cost of providing banking services, thereby additionally reducing the available bank credit to firms through a "deposit run". Empirical results from a VAR model broadly support the theoretical implications.

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  • Yong Sarah Zhou, 2008. "Capital Flows and Economic Fluctuations; The Role of Commercial Banks in Transmitting Shocks," IMF Working Papers 08/12, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/12

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sean Joss Gossel & Nicholas Biekpe, 2012. "The effects of capital inflows on South Africa's economy," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(11), pages 923-938, June.

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    Employment; Financial crisis; Financial intermediation; Bank credit; Capital flows; banking; capital inflows; bank lending;

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