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Alternative Fiscal Rules for Norway

  • Daniel Leigh
  • Etibar Jafarov
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    This paper considers long-term fiscal policy options in Norway, the world's fifth largest oil exporter, in light of the substantial expected increase in pension outlays. It compares the current fiscal rule, which targets a (central government structural) non-oil deficit equal to 4 percent of Government Pension Fund assets, with three alternatives that save a larger share of oil revenue and accumulate more assets to pay for aging costs. It also analyzes the macroeconomic consequences of accumulating more assets, finding that the additional income generated from more assets allows lower tax rates, with positive effects on long-term output.

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    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=21395
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    Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 07/241.

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    Length: 30
    Date of creation: 01 Oct 2007
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:07/241
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    1. Jan-Peter Olters & Daniel Leigh, 2006. "Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy; Lessons From Gabon," IMF Working Papers 06/193, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Douglas Laxton & Michael Kumhof, 2007. "A Party without a Hangover?on the Effects of U.S. Government Deficits," IMF Working Papers 07/202, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Dennis Fredriksen & Nils Martin Stølen, 2005. "Effects of demographic development, labour supply and pension reforms on the future pension burden," Discussion Papers 418, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    4. Benoît Bellone & Alexandra Bibbee, 2006. "The Ageing Challenge in Norway: Ensuring a Sustainable Pension and Welfare System," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 480, OECD Publishing.
    5. Bernard Casey & Howard Oxley & Edward R. Whitehouse & Pablo Antolín & Romain Duval & Willi Leibfritz, 2003. "Policies for an Ageing Society: Recent Measures and Areas for Further Reform," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 369, OECD Publishing.
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