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Trade and Financial Contagion in Currency Crises

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  • Ranil M Salgado
  • Luca A Ricci
  • Francesco Caramazza

Abstract

This paper investigates empirically the relevance of external, domestic, and financial weaknesses as well as trade and financial linkages in inducing financial crises for a sample of 61 emerging market and industrial countries. A panel probit estimation finds these economic indicators to be significant for emerging market countries during the Mexican, Asian, and Russian crises. In particular, the indicators of vulnerability to international financial spillover (common creditor) and of financial fragility (reserve adequacy) are highly significant and appear to explain the apparent regional concentration of these crises. Exchange rate regimes and capital controls, however, do not seem to matter.

Suggested Citation

  • Ranil M Salgado & Luca A Ricci & Francesco Caramazza, 2000. "Trade and Financial Contagion in Currency Crises," IMF Working Papers 00/55, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:00/55
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    Financial crisis; Trade; Currency crises; emerging markets; contagion; trade and financial spillovers; exchange rate; asian crisis; crisis country;

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