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Comparative Macroeconomic Dynamics in the Arab World: A Panel Var Approach

  • Alexei Kireyev

The paper presents a comparative analysis of macroeconomic dynamics of 18 Arab countries based on a panel vector autogression estimation. Comparing growth performance, fiscal and current account developments in these countries, the study concludes that (1) in the short run, external and country-specific factors play an almost equal role in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations, but in the long run external factors dominate; (2) on average, program countries are less vulnerable to adverse exogeneous shocks than nonprogram countries; (3) to mitigate the negative impact of an external shock, domestic policy response should be consistent with the size of the shock.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 00/54.

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Length: 52
Date of creation: 01 Mar 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:00/54
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