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De quoi la stagnation séculaire est-elle le nom ?

Listed author(s):
  • Xavier Ragot

    (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po, PSE - Paris School of Economics, PSE - Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - ENS Paris - École normale supérieure - Paris)

Le rythme à venir de la croissance mondiale est plus que jamais incertain. La faiblesse des taux d'emploi en Europe et aux Etats-Unis, le ralentissement chinois et les difficultés des pays émergents laissent planer le soupçon d'un changement d'époque. Sommes-nous entrés dans une période de faible croissance, à laquelle les Etats et les populations devraient s'adapter ? Le coeur du débat consiste à savoir si la faible croissance est une conséquence inévitable du ralentissement de la croissance potentielle ou si elle est le résultat de mauvaises politiques économiques. Cette question essentielle se diffracte dans le prisme du débat français en une opposition entre ceux qui affirment que l'Hexagone fait principalement face à un problème d'offre et ceux qui insistent sur le déficit de demande.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series PSE - Labex "OSE-Ouvrir la Science Economique" with number halshs-01313746.

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Date of creation: Mar 2016
Publication status: Published in L'Economie Politique, Scop-Alternatives économiques, 2016, pp.27-38. 〈10.3917/leco.070.0027 〉
Handle: RePEc:hal:pseose:halshs-01313746
DOI: 10.3917/leco.070.0027
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01313746
Contact details of provider: Web page: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/

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