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A Measure of Variability in Comovement for Economic Variables : a Time-Varying Coherence Function Approach

  • Essahbi Essaadi

    (GATE - Groupe d'analyse et de théorie économique - CNRS - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - Ecole Normale Supérieure Lettres et Sciences Humaines)

  • Mohamed Boutahar

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - Université Paul Cézanne - Aix-Marseille 3 - Université de la Méditerranée - Aix-Marseille 2 - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - AMU - Aix-Marseille Université)

In this paper, we test the instability of comovement, in time and frequency domain, for the GDP growth rate of the US and the UK. We use the frequency approach, which is based on evolutionary spectral analysis (Priestley, 1965-1996). The graphical analysis of the Time-Varying Coherence Function (TVCF) reports the existence of variability in correlation between the two series. Our goal is to estimate first the TVCF of the two series, then to test stability in both the cross-spectra density and in TVCF by detecting various breakpoints in each function.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00333582.

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Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Working Paper GATE 2008-27. 2008
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00333582
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