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Working Paper 10-15 - The relationship between unemployment duration and education - The case of school leavers in Belgium

Author

Listed:
  • Marie Duvivier
  • Maritza López-Novella

Abstract

In this study, we investigate the exit rates from unemployment associated with different levels of education in Belgium during two periods characterised respectively by high (2002-2007) and low economic growth (2009-2014). Our estimated exit probabilities confirm that the chances of leaving unemployment are substantially higher for young unemployed who have followed post-secondary education. Moreover, the probabilities of leaving unemployment for low- and medium-skilled school leavers considerably deteriorated between the two periods. On the one hand, the penalty associated with lower education slightly increased while, on the other hand, the advantage associated with postgraduate tertiary education reinforced itself. Finally, our results show considerable heterogeneity according to region of residence and gender.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie Duvivier & Maritza López-Novella, 2015. "Working Paper 10-15 - The relationship between unemployment duration and education - The case of school leavers in Belgium," Working Papers 1510, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
  • Handle: RePEc:fpb:wpaper:1510
    as

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    File URL: https://www.plan.be/uploaded/documents/201601050851220.WP_1510_11162.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cockx, Bart, 2013. "Youth Unemployment in Belgium: Diagnosis and Key Remedies," IZA Policy Papers 66, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Muriel Dejemeppe & Bart Cockx, 2005. "Duration dependence in the exit rate out of unemployment in Belgium. Is it true or spurious?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 1-23.
    3. Stijn BAERT & Bart COCKX & Niels GHEYLE & Cora VANDAMME, 2013. "Jonas plutôt que Okan ? Discrimination ethnique à l'égard des jeunes diplômés en Flandre," Regards économiques 104, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    4. Cockx, Bart & Dejemeppe, Muriel, 2002. "Do the Higher Educated Unemployed Crowd Out the Lower Educated Ones in a Competition for Jobs?," IZA Discussion Papers 541, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Public Policy
    • I2 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education

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