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Forward-looking Agents and Macroeconomic Determinants of the Equity Price in a Small Open Economy

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  • Amir Kia

Abstract

A macro-determinant model of stock price using monthly data on Canadian and U.S. markets is estimated. It is found that the commodity price is also an important component of stock prices. The economic agents in the stock markets are forward looking and their reactions to equilibrium errors are asymmetric. It is also found that deviations from fundamental price are short-lived. Furthermore, among long-run macro-determinants of stock price, at least two long-run stationary relationships exist: Uncovered Interest Parity and a long-run Canadian Monetary Policy Reaction function.

Suggested Citation

  • Amir Kia, 2001. "Forward-looking Agents and Macroeconomic Determinants of the Equity Price in a Small Open Economy," Emory Economics 0103, Department of Economics, Emory University (Atlanta).
  • Handle: RePEc:emo:wp2003:0103
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