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A transaction level study of the effects of central bank intervention on exchange rates

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  • Payne, Richard
  • Vitale, Paolo

Abstract

We study the effects of sterilised intervention operations executed on behalf of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) using tick-by-tick transactions data between 1986 and 1995. We extend the preliminary results obtained by Fischer and Zurlinden (1991) by matching these data with intra-day indicative exchange rate quotes. Via an event study analysis we examine the effects of intervention on exchange rate returns and volatility. We find that intervention has important short-run effects on the level of exchanges rates. There are also significant intra-day effects of intervention on exchange rate volatility. All of these effects are in line with theoretical predictions and it is shown that the impact on the exchange rate level is stronger when intervention is with the market rather than when it is again the wind. Finally, we find that the market partially anticipates the information contained in interventions as the exchange rate reacts in the 15 minute interval immediately before an event.

Suggested Citation

  • Payne, Richard & Vitale, Paolo, 2002. "A transaction level study of the effects of central bank intervention on exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 25040, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:25040
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vitale, Paolo, 1999. "Sterilised central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 245-267, December.
    2. Dominguez, Kathryn M. E., 2003. "The market microstructure of central bank intervention," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 25-45, January.
    3. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1993. "On Exchange Rates," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262061546, December.
    4. Fischer, Andreas M & Zurlinden, Mathias, 1999. "Exchange Rate Effects of Central Bank Interventions: An Analysis of Transaction Prices," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 109(458), pages 662-676, October.
    5. Bhattacharya, Utpal & Weller, Paul, 1997. "The advantage to hiding one's hand: Speculation and central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 251-277, July.
    6. Peiers, Bettina, 1997. "Informed Traders, Intervention, and Price Leadership: A Deeper View of the Microstructure of the Foreign Exchange Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1589-1614, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sterilised intervention; Foreign exchange market; Market microstructure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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