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International Business Cycle Comovement: Trade and Foreign Direct Investment

  • Jos Jansen
  • Ad Stokman

This paper investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and business cycle synchronization in the period 1982-2010 for eight industrialized countries. We find that more synchronized business cycles are associated with stronger FDI relations during 1995-2010, but that they are mainly associated with stronger trade linkages before 1995. More intensive FDI links are also associated with a greater vulnerability to lagged output spillovers from abroad, whereas trade links are not. Our findings suggest that FDI has become a separate channel through which economies may affect each other and that FDI stocks are now an essential aspect of economic interdependence.

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Paper provided by Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department in its series DNB Working Papers with number 319.

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Date of creation: Sep 2011
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Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:319
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  1. Giorgio Fagiolo & Javier Reyes & Stefano Schiavo, 2007. "International Trade and Financial Integration: a Weighted Network Analysis," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2007-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
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  9. W. Jos Jansen & Ad C.J. Stokman, 2003. "International Rent Sharing and Domestic Labour Markets: A Macroeconomic Analysis," MEB Series (discontinued) 2003-14, Netherlands Central Bank, Monetary and Economic Policy Department.
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  12. John W. Budd & Jozef Konings & Matthew J. Slaughter, 2002. "Wages and International Rent Sharing in Multinational Firms," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 522, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  13. Inklaar, Robert & Jong-A-Pin, Richard & de Haan, Jakob, 2008. "Trade and business cycle synchronization in OECD countries--A re-examination," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 646-666, May.
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  17. Stephen Ross Yeaple, 2003. "The Role of Skill Endowments in the Structure of U.S. Outward Foreign Direct Investment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 726-734, August.
  18. Ding, Wei & Fan, Cuihong & Wolfstetter, Elmar G., 2010. "Horizontal mergers with synergies: first-price vs. profit-share auction," Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems 336, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich.
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